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Cruz Azul vs Atlas

Liga MXClausura - Quarter-finals
Cruz Azul
#3 · Liga MX
WWDDD
VS
Atlas
#6 · Liga MX
LWDWD
63.1%
Home Win
18.6%
Draw
18.2%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.58
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.54 for Over 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 56.3% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Cruz Azul will face Atlas in the Liga MX.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Cruz Azul has a 63.1% probability of winning this match. Atlas has a 18.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 18.6%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Cruz Azul are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
  • Cruz Azul average 2.1 goals per game
  • Atlas have kept clean sheets in 42% of their matches

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Moderate confidence
Match Result
1 — Cruz Azul63.1%1.39
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.556.3%1.54
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes52.7%1.74
Based on avg. implied odds from 10 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
2-0
7.16
14%
2-1
7.51
13.4%
1-0
7.88
12.8%
1-1
8.49
11.9%
3-0
9.37
10.7%
3-1
9.97
10.1%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 1.39Draw 4.67Away 6.83
O/U 2.5Over 1.54Under 2.35
O/U 1.5Over 1.16Under 4.76
O/U 3.5Over 2.37Under 1.55
BTTSYes 1.74No 1.97
Double Chance1X 1.0912 1.16X2 2.84

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
92.8%
Over 1.5 Goals
80.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
56.3%
Over 3.5 Goals
39.5%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Liga MX Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
17106134171736
DWWWW
2
Guadalajara Chivas
17113333171636
LDDWL
3
Cruz Azul
1796231181333
WWDDD
4
CF Pachuca
179442519631
WLLWW
5
Toluca
1786328161230
LWLLD
6
Atlas
177551618-226
LWDWD
16
Mazatlán
1743102237-1515
LWDLL
17
Puebla
1734101326-1313
LLLLD
18
Santos Laguna
1733112038-1812
WLLLD

Key Statistics

2025 Season
Cruz AzulAtlas
2.09Goals p.g.0.95
1.14Goals conceded p.g.1.16
23%Clean sheets42%
55%Win rate37%
3.23Avg goals in match2.11

Recent Results

Cruz AzulLAST MATCHES
03 MayAtlas2–3Cruz AzulLiga MX
27 AprCruz Azul4–1NecaxaLiga MX
22 AprClub Queretaro1–1Cruz AzulLiga MX
18 AprCruz Azul1–1Club TijuanaLiga MX
15 AprCruz Azul1–1Los Angeles FCCONCACAF Champions League
12 AprClub America1–1Cruz AzulLiga MX
12Win55%
8Draw36%
2Lost9%
LAST MATCHESAtlas
03 MayAtlas2–3Cruz AzulLiga MX
26 AprClub America0–1AtlasLiga MX
23 AprAtlas0–0Tigres UANLLiga MX
19 AprSantos Laguna0–1AtlasLiga MX
12 AprAtlas0–0MonterreyLiga MX
05 AprLeon2–0AtlasLiga MX
7Win37%
5Draw26%
7Lost37%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Cruz Azul

No reported absences

Atlas

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Cruz Azul Win1.39 (63.1%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.54 (56.3%)
●Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.35 (43.7%)
Both Teams Score1.74 (52.7%)
BTTS No1.97 (47.3%)
●Speculative
Draw4.67 (18.6%)
Atlas Win6.83 (18.2%)
Cruz Azul vs Atlas Predictions, Stats, H2H - 10 May 2026 | SureTipsPro