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Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL

Liga MXClausura - Quarter-finals
Guadalajara Chivas
#2 · Liga MX
LDDWL
VS
Estadio Akron, Zapopan
Tigres UANL
#7 · Liga MX
WWWDD
44.7%
Home Win
22.6%
Draw
32.7%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.62
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.59 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 58.1% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Guadalajara Chivas will face Tigres UANL in the Liga MX at Estadio Akron.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Guadalajara Chivas has a 44.7% probability of winning this match. Tigres UANL has a 32.7% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.6%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Tigres UANL have won 3 of their last 5 games
  • Tigres UANL are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
  • Guadalajara Chivas have kept clean sheets in 50% of their matches
  • With a combined average of 3.6 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
1 — Guadalajara Chivas44.7%2.03
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.554.8%1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes58.1%1.59
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 10 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
6.52
15.4%
2-1
8.01
12.6%
1-0
8.30
12.1%
2-0
10.10
10%
1-2
10.72
9.4%
0-1
11.03
9.1%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 2.03Draw 3.48Away 3.28
O/U 2.5Over 1.71Under 2.07
O/U 1.5Over 1.21Under 4.00
O/U 3.5Over 2.72Under 1.40
BTTSYes 1.59No 2.21
Double Chance1X 1.3012 1.27X2 1.72

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
91.4%
Over 1.5 Goals
76.8%
Over 2.5 Goals
54.8%
Over 3.5 Goals
34%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Liga MX Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
17106134171736
DWWWW
2
Guadalajara Chivas
17113333171636
LDDWL
3
Cruz Azul
1796231181333
WWDDD
4
CF Pachuca
179442519631
WLLWW
5
Toluca
1786328161230
LWLLD
6
Atlas
177551618-226
LWDWD
7
Tigres UANL
1774628181025
WWDDW
16
Mazatlán
1743102237-1515
LWDLL
17
Puebla
1734101326-1313
LLLLD
18
Santos Laguna
1733112038-1812
WLLLD

Key Statistics

2025 Season
Guadalajara ChivasTigres UANL
1.75Goals p.g.1.87
1Goals conceded p.g.1.13
50%Clean sheets26%
60%Win rate48%
2.75Avg goals in match3

Recent Results

Guadalajara ChivasLAST MATCHES
03 MayTigres UANL3–1Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX
26 AprGuadalajara Chivas0–0Club TijuanaLiga MX
23 AprNecaxa0–0Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX
19 AprGuadalajara Chivas5–0PueblaLiga MX
11 AprTigres UANL4–1Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX
06 AprGuadalajara Chivas2–2U.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX
12Win60%
4Draw20%
4Lost20%
LAST MATCHESTigres UANL
03 MayTigres UANL3–1Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX
29 AprNashville SC0–1Tigres UANLCONCACAF Champions League
25 AprTigres UANL5–1MazatlánLiga MX
23 AprAtlas0–0Tigres UANLLiga MX
18 AprNecaxa1–1Tigres UANLLiga MX
16 AprSeattle Sounders3–1Tigres UANLCONCACAF Champions League
11Win48%
5Draw22%
7Lost30%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Guadalajara Chivas

No reported absences

Tigres UANL

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Both Teams Score1.59 (58.1%)
●Value Bets
Guadalajara Chivas Win2.03 (44.7%)
Tigres UANL Win3.28 (32.7%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.71 (54.8%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.07 (45.2%)
BTTS No2.21 (41.9%)
●Speculative
Draw3.48 (22.6%)
Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL Predictions, Stats, H2H - 10 May 2026 | SureTipsPro