Como vs Parma
Como
#6 · Serie A
DWLLL
VS
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
Parma
#12 · Serie A
LWWDD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams Not to Score
One side looks comfortably the stronger and is likely to keep things clean — BTTS No is the value pick.
BTTS
1.80
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.76 for Both Teams Not to Score. Our model calculates a 53.6% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Como will face Parma in the Serie A at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Como has a 65.1% probability of winning this match. Parma has a 17.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 17.8%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Como have kept clean sheets in 44% of their matches
- Parma have kept clean sheets in 41% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Strong confidenceMatch Result
1 — Como65.1%1.32
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.551.4%1.68
Both Teams to Score
No53.6%1.76
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 9 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-0
6.26
16%
1-0
6.63
15.1%
2-1
7.85
12.8%
3-0
8.19
12.3%
1-1
9.09
11.1%
3-1
10.50
9.6%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.32 | Draw 5.14 | Away 9.15 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.68 | Under 2.20 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.20 | Under 4.34 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.63 | Under 1.45 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.98 | No 1.76 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.07 | 12 1.15 | X2 3.31 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals92.1%
Over 1.5 Goals78.4%
Over 2.5 Goals51.4%
Over 3.5 Goals35.6%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 35 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 82 | 31 | 51 | 82 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Napoli | 35 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 70 | DWLDW |
| 3 |  AC Milan | 35 | 19 | 10 | 6 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 67 | LDWLL |
| 4 |  Juventus | 35 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 65 | DDWWW |
| 5 |  AS Roma | 35 | 20 | 4 | 11 | 52 | 29 | 23 | 64 | WWDWL |
| 6 | Como | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 28 | 31 | 62 | DWLLD |
| 12 | Parma | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 25 | 42 | -17 | 42 | LWWDD |
| 18 |  Cremonese | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 28 | LLDLL |
| 19 |  Hellas Verona | 35 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 24 | 57 | -33 | 20 | DDLLL |
| 20 |  Pisa | 35 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 25 | 63 | -38 | 18 | LLLLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonComoParma
1.89Goals p.g.0.76
0.94Goals conceded p.g.1.24
44%Clean sheets41%
44%Win rate35%
2.83Avg goals in match2
Recent Results
ComoLAST MATCHES
02 MayComo0–0NapoliSerie A
26 AprGenoa0–2ComoSerie A
21 AprInter3–2ComoCoppa Italia
17 AprSassuolo2–1ComoSerie A
12 AprComo3–4InterSerie A
06 AprUdinese0–0ComoSerie A
8Win44%
6Draw33%
4Lost22%
LAST MATCHESParma
03 MayInter2–0ParmaSerie A
25 AprParma1–0PisaSerie A
18 AprUdinese0–1ParmaSerie A
12 AprParma1–1NapoliSerie A
04 AprLazio1–1ParmaSerie A
21 MarParma0–2CremoneseSerie A
6Win35%
6Draw35%
5Lost29%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersComo
No reported absences
Parma
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Como Win1.32 (65.1%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals1.68 (51.4%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.20 (48.6%)
Both Teams Score1.98 (46.4%)
BTTS No1.76 (53.6%)
Speculative
Draw5.14 (17.8%)
Parma Win9.15 (17.1%)
