Cerezo Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga
Cerezo Osaka
#6 · J1 League
LWWLD
3 - 0
Yodoko Sakura Stadium, Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
#5 · J1 League
LWLDW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.57
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.55 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 57.3% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Cerezo Osaka will face Kyoto Sanga in the J1 League at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Cerezo Osaka has a 44.2% probability of winning this match. Kyoto Sanga has a 32.8% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Cerezo Osaka44.2%2.27
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.553%1.69
Both Teams to Score
Yes57.3%1.55
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.38
15.7%
2-1
8.29
12.1%
1-0
9.07
11.1%
1-2
9.54
10.6%
0-1
10.16
10%
2-2
10.88
9.3%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.27 | Draw 3.48 | Away 2.90 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.69 | Under 2.11 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.20 | Under 4.17 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.66 | Under 1.42 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.55 | No 2.30 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.38 | 12 1.27 | X2 1.59 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.5%
Over 1.5 Goals77.6%
Over 2.5 Goals53%
Over 3.5 Goals34.8%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
J1 League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashima | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 32 | WWWLW |
| 1 |  Vissel Kobe | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 25 | WWWWL |
| 2 |  Nagoya Grampus | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 21 | WWLWL |
| 2 |  FC Tokyo | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 26 | WWLWL |
| 3 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 | WWWLL |
| 3 |  Machida Zelvia | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 | WWLWW |
| 5 | Kyoto Sanga | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 17 | LWLWW |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 17 | LWWLW |
| 9 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 11 | LLLWW |
| 10 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 12 | LLLWL |
| 10 |  JEF United Chiba | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 | LLLWL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonCerezo OsakaKyoto Sanga
1.24Goals p.g.1.56
1.24Goals conceded p.g.1.25
35%Clean sheets19%
35%Win rate44%
2.47Avg goals in match2.81
Recent Results
Cerezo OsakaLAST MATCHES
25 AprSanfrecce Hiroshima2–1Cerezo OsakaJ1 League
18 AprCerezo Osaka3–0Kyoto SangaJ1 League
11 AprGamba Osaka0–1Cerezo OsakaJ1 League
04 AprNagoya Grampus3–0Cerezo OsakaJ1 League
22 MarCerezo Osaka1–1Vissel KobeJ1 League
18 MarCerezo Osaka1–2Fagiano OkayamaJ1 League
6Win35%
3Draw18%
8Lost47%
LAST MATCHESKyoto Sanga
18 AprCerezo Osaka3–0Kyoto SangaJ1 League
11 AprKyoto Sanga5–1Fagiano OkayamaJ1 League
04 AprGamba Osaka2–0Kyoto SangaJ1 League
22 MarKyoto Sanga1–1Nagoya GrampusJ1 League
18 MarV-varen Nagasaki1–2Kyoto SangaJ1 League
14 MarKyoto Sanga1–2Cerezo OsakaJ1 League
7Win44%
3Draw19%
6Lost38%
Lineups
ConfirmedCerezo Osaka4-2-3-1Confirmed
66Ayumu OhataDEF
16Hayato OkudaDEF
44Shinnosuke HatanakaDEF
4Rikito InoueDEF
11Thiago AndradeFWD
23Kosuke NakamuraGK
10Shunta TanakaMID
19Shion HommaMID
13Motohiko NakajimaMID
48Masaya ShibayamaMID
18Nelson IshiwatariMID
Substitutes
27Dion CoolsDEF
6Kyohei NoborizatoDEF
9Solomon SakuragawaFWD
21Jin Hyeon KimGK
35Kyohei YoshinoMID
14Yumeki YokoyamaMID
7Satoki UejoMID
5Hinata KidaMID
8Shinji KagawaMID
Kyoto Sanga4-3-3Confirmed
2Shinnosuke FukudaDEF
44Kyo SatoDEF
34Henrique TrevisanDEF
50Yoshinori SuzukiDEF
88BarretoFWD
11Marco TúlioFWD
29Ko SakaiFWD
1Gakuji OtaGK
25Sung-jun YoonMID
6João PedroMID
39Taiki HiratoMID
Substitutes
3Shogo AsadaDEF
22Hidehiro SugaiDEF
19DavidFWD
21Kentaro KakoiGK
16Taiyo HiraokaMID
7Masaya OkugawaMID
48Ryuma NakanoMID
77Haruki AraiMID
8Takuji YonemotoMID
Unavailable Players
0 playersCerezo Osaka
No reported absences
Kyoto Sanga
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Both Teams Score1.55 (57.3%)
Value Bets
Cerezo Osaka Win2.27 (44.2%)
Kyoto Sanga Win2.90 (32.8%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.69 (53%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.11 (47%)
BTTS No2.30 (42.7%)
Speculative
Draw3.48 (23%)
