Celta Vigo vs Levante

Celta Vigo
#6 · La Liga
WLLLL
VS
Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, Vigo

Levante
#19 · La Liga
LDWWL
★ OUR PICK
Celta Vigo to Win
Solid home form and superior underlying numbers over Levante make Celta Vigo the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.81
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.72 for Celta Vigo to Win. Our model calculates a 55.3% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Celta Vigo will face Levante in the La Liga at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Celta Vigo has a 55.3% probability of winning this match. Levante has a 23.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.5%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Celta Vigo sit 6th in the table, 13 places above their opponents
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Celta Vigo55.3%1.72
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.552.6%1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes54.6%1.73
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.98
14.4%
1-0
7.25
13.8%
2-1
7.56
13.3%
2-0
8.17
12.3%
0-0
11.93
8.5%
3-1
12.55
8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.72 | Draw 3.85 | Away 4.44 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.78 | Under 2.03 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.24 | Under 3.80 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.91 | Under 1.38 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.73 | No 2.02 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.20 | 12 1.24 | X2 2.08 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.7%
Over 1.5 Goals75.4%
Over 2.5 Goals52.6%
Over 3.5 Goals32.2%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 29 | 1 | 4 | 89 | 31 | 58 | 88 | WWWWW | |
| 2 | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 70 | 31 | 39 | 77 | WDWDL | |
| 3 | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 68 | WWDWL | |
| 4 | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 63 | WWLLL | |
| 5 | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 53 | WDWDD | |
| 6 | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 47 | WLLLW | |
| 18 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 36 | LWLDD | |
| 19 | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 33 | LDWWL | |
| 20 | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 28 | LLDWW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonCelta VigoLevante
1.33Goals p.g.1.06
1.57Goals conceded p.g.1.53
19%Clean sheets29%
33%Win rate29%
2.9Avg goals in match2.59
Recent Results
Celta VigoLAST MATCHES
03 MayCelta Vigo3–1ElcheLa Liga
26 AprVillarreal2–1Celta VigoLa Liga
22 AprBarcelona1–0Celta VigoLa Liga
16 AprCelta Vigo1–3SC FreiburgUEFA Europa League
12 AprCelta Vigo0–3OviedoLa Liga
09 AprSC Freiburg3–0Celta VigoUEFA Europa League
7Win33%
5Draw24%
9Lost43%
LAST MATCHESLevante
02 MayVillarreal5–1LevanteLa Liga
27 AprEspanyol0–0LevanteLa Liga
23 AprLevante2–0SevillaLa Liga
13 AprLevante1–0GetafeLa Liga
04 AprReal Sociedad2–0LevanteLa Liga
21 MarLevante4–2OviedoLa Liga
5Win29%
5Draw29%
7Lost41%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
Celta Vigo
No reported absences
Levante
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Celta Vigo Win1.72 (55.3%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals1.78 (52.6%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.03 (47.4%)
Both Teams Score1.73 (54.6%)
BTTS No2.02 (45.4%)
Speculative
Draw3.85 (21.5%)
Levante Win4.44 (23.2%)







