AC Milan vs Atalanta
AC Milan
#3 · Serie A
LDWLL
VS
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milan
Atalanta
#7 · Serie A
DLDDL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.67
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.64 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 54.4% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , AC Milan will face Atalanta in the Serie A at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that AC Milan has a 48.4% probability of winning this match. Atalanta has a 28% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.6%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — AC Milan48.4%2.04
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.550.1%2.01
Both Teams to Score
Yes54.4%1.64
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.31
15.9%
1-0
7.94
12.6%
2-1
8.07
12.4%
2-0
10.01
10%
0-1
10.74
9.3%
1-2
11.17
9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.04 | Draw 3.41 | Away 3.56 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.80 | Under 2.01 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.24 | Under 3.81 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.91 | Under 1.39 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.64 | No 2.16 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.28 | 12 1.29 | X2 1.76 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.2%
Over 1.5 Goals75.3%
Over 2.5 Goals49.9%
Over 3.5 Goals32.3%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 35 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 82 | 31 | 51 | 82 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Napoli | 35 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 70 | DWLDW |
| 3 | AC Milan | 35 | 19 | 10 | 6 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 67 | LDWLL |
| 4 |  Juventus | 35 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 65 | DDWWW |
| 5 |  AS Roma | 35 | 20 | 4 | 11 | 52 | 29 | 23 | 64 | WWDWL |
| 6 |  Como | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 28 | 31 | 62 | DWLLD |
| 7 | Atalanta | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 55 | DLDLW |
| 18 |  Cremonese | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 28 | LLDLL |
| 19 |  Hellas Verona | 35 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 24 | 57 | -33 | 20 | DDLLL |
| 20 |  Pisa | 35 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 25 | 63 | -38 | 18 | LLLLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonAC MilanAtalanta
1.12Goals p.g.1.53
0.88Goals conceded p.g.1.47
35%Clean sheets26%
47%Win rate37%
2Avg goals in match3
Recent Results
AC MilanLAST MATCHES
03 MaySassuolo2–0AC MilanSerie A
26 AprAC Milan0–0JuventusSerie A
19 AprHellas Verona0–1AC MilanSerie A
11 AprAC Milan0–3UdineseSerie A
06 AprNapoli1–0AC MilanSerie A
21 MarAC Milan3–2TorinoSerie A
8Win47%
4Draw24%
5Lost29%
LAST MATCHESAtalanta
02 MayAtalanta0–0GenoaSerie A
27 AprCagliari3–2AtalantaSerie A
22 AprAtalanta1–1LazioCoppa Italia
18 AprAS Roma1–1AtalantaSerie A
11 AprAtalanta0–1JuventusSerie A
06 AprLecce0–3AtalantaSerie A
7Win37%
6Draw32%
6Lost32%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAC Milan
No reported absences
Atalanta
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
AC Milan Win2.04 (48.4%)
Atalanta Win3.56 (28%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.80 (49.9%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.01 (50.1%)
Both Teams Score1.64 (54.4%)
BTTS No2.16 (45.6%)
Speculative
Draw3.41 (23.6%)
