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Union Berlin vs FC Augsburg

BundesligaRegular Season - 34
Union Berlin
#13 · Bundesliga
DLLLD
VS
Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
FC Augsburg
#9 · Bundesliga
WDWDD
36.7%
Home Win
20.5%
Draw
42.8%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
FC Augsburg to Win
Slight away form and superior underlying numbers over Union Berlin make FC Augsburg the value pick here.
Moneyline
2.57
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 2.57 (implied 38.9%) for FC Augsburg to Win. Our model calculates a 42.8% probability, which translates to fair odds of 2.34. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Union Berlin will face FC Augsburg in the Bundesliga at Stadion An der Alten Försterei.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Union Berlin has a 36.7% probability of winning this match. FC Augsburg has a 42.8% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 20.5%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • FC Augsburg are unbeaten in their last 5 matches

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
2 — FC Augsburg42.8%2.57
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.564.3%1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes64.5%1.39
Based on avg. implied odds from 1 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
8.50
11.8%
1-2
9.50
10.5%
2-1
9.60
10.4%
2-2
10.50
9.5%
0-1
14.50
6.9%
1-0
14.50
6.9%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 2.57Draw 4.22Away 2.57
O/U 2.5Over 1.38Under 2.90
O/U 1.5Over 1.09Under 6.70
O/U 3.5Over 2.08Under 1.87
BTTSYes 1.39No 2.85
Double Chance1X 1.5712 1.27X2 1.57

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
—
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
Over 2.5 Goals
64.3%
Over 3.5 Goals
47.3%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Bundesliga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Bayern München
322651116358183
DWWWW
2
Borussia Dortmund
32207565323367
LWLLW
3
RB Leipzig
32195863422162
LWWWW
4
Bayer Leverkusen
32177866432358
WWLWW
5
VfB Stuttgart
32177866462058
DDLWL
6
1899 Hoffenheim
32177864481658
DWWDL
9
FC Augsburg
32117144256-1440
WDWDD
13
Union Berlin
3289153757-2033
DLLLD
16
VfL Wolfsburg
3268184267-2526
DDWLL
17
FC St. Pauli
3268182755-2826
LLDLD
18
1. FC Heidenheim
3258193869-3123
DWLWD

Key Statistics

2025 Season
Union BerlinFC Augsburg
1Goals p.g.1.47
2Goals conceded p.g.1.65
12%Clean sheets12%
12%Win rate41%
3Avg goals in match3.12

Recent Results

Union BerlinLAST MATCHES
02 MayUnion Berlin2–21. FC KölnBundesliga
24 AprRB Leipzig3–1Union BerlinBundesliga
18 AprUnion Berlin1–2VfL WolfsburgBundesliga
11 Apr1. FC Heidenheim3–1Union BerlinBundesliga
05 AprUnion Berlin1–1FC St. PauliBundesliga
21 MarBayern München4–0Union BerlinBundesliga
2Win12%
6Draw35%
9Lost53%
LAST MATCHESFC Augsburg
02 MayWerder Bremen1–3FC AugsburgBundesliga
25 AprFC Augsburg1–1Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
18 AprBayer Leverkusen1–2FC AugsburgBundesliga
10 AprFC Augsburg2–21899 HoffenheimBundesliga
04 AprHamburger SV1–1FC AugsburgBundesliga
22 MarFC Augsburg2–5VfB StuttgartBundesliga
7Win41%
5Draw29%
5Lost29%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Union Berlin

No reported absences

FC Augsburg

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.38 (64.3%)
Both Teams Score1.39 (64.5%)
●Value Bets
Union Berlin Win2.57 (36.7%)
FC Augsburg Win2.57 (42.8%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.90 (35.7%)
BTTS No2.85 (35.5%)
●Speculative
Draw4.22 (20.5%)
Union Berlin vs FC Augsburg Predictions, Stats, H2H - 16 May 2026 | SureTipsPro