TSV Hartberg vs Sturm Graz
TSV Hartberg
#6 · Bundesliga
LLWDD
VS
Stadion Hartberg, Hartberg
Sturm Graz
#1 · Bundesliga
DDDDD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.70
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.67 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 52.7% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , TSV Hartberg will face Sturm Graz in the Bundesliga at Stadion Hartberg.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that TSV Hartberg has a 32.4% probability of winning this match. Sturm Graz has a 44.8% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.8%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Sturm Graz are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- TSV Hartberg have kept clean sheets in 44% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Sturm Graz44.8%1.86
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.551.3%1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes52.7%1.67
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 11 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.44
15.6%
0-1
7.35
13.7%
1-2
7.73
13%
0-2
8.94
11.3%
0-0
10.69
9.5%
1-0
11.18
9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 3.90 | Draw 3.56 | Away 1.86 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.79 | Under 1.97 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.23 | Under 3.71 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.93 | Under 1.36 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.67 | No 2.07 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.87 | 12 1.26 | X2 1.24 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90.8%
Over 1.5 Goals75%
Over 2.5 Goals48.7%
Over 3.5 Goals31.6%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ried | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 28 | WLWDD |
| 1 | Sturm Graz | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 38 | DDDDD |
| 2 |  SCR Altach | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 23 | LLDDW |
| 2 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 37 | DLWWL |
| 3 |  WSG Wattens | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 23 | LWDDL |
| 3 |  Lask Linz | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 37 | WWDDW |
| 5 |  Wolfsberger AC | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 22 | WWLDD |
| 6 | TSV Hartberg | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 33 | LLWDD |
| 6 |  FC BW Linz | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 20 | LWWDW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonTSV HartbergSturm Graz
1.28Goals p.g.1.42
0.89Goals conceded p.g.1.21
44%Clean sheets32%
39%Win rate32%
2.17Avg goals in match2.63
Recent Results
TSV HartbergLAST MATCHES
03 MayAustria Vienna1–0TSV HartbergBundesliga
26 AprTSV Hartberg1–5Lask LinzBundesliga
22 AprRapid Vienna0–2TSV HartbergBundesliga
19 AprTSV Hartberg2–2Rapid ViennaBundesliga
12 AprSturm Graz0–0TSV HartbergBundesliga
05 AprTSV Hartberg1–2Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
7Win39%
7Draw39%
4Lost22%
LAST MATCHESSturm Graz
03 MayRed Bull Salzburg1–1Sturm GrazBundesliga
26 AprSturm Graz1–1Austria ViennaBundesliga
22 AprSturm Graz1–1Lask LinzBundesliga
19 AprLask Linz1–1Sturm GrazBundesliga
12 AprSturm Graz0–0TSV HartbergBundesliga
05 AprRapid Vienna0–2Sturm GrazBundesliga
6Win32%
10Draw53%
3Lost16%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersTSV Hartberg
No reported absences
Sturm Graz
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
TSV Hartberg Win3.90 (32.4%)
Sturm Graz Win1.86 (44.8%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.79 (48.7%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.97 (51.3%)
Both Teams Score1.67 (52.7%)
BTTS No2.07 (47.3%)
Speculative
Draw3.56 (22.8%)
