Lask Linz vs Red Bull Salzburg
Lask Linz
#3 · Bundesliga
WWWDD
VS
Raiffeisen Arena, Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
#2 · Bundesliga
DLWWL
★ OUR PICK
Lask Linz to Win
Slight home form and superior underlying numbers over Red Bull Salzburg make Lask Linz the value pick here.
Moneyline
2.75
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 2.62 (implied 38.2%) for Lask Linz to Win. Our model calculates a 43.5% probability, which translates to fair odds of 2.30. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Lask Linz will face Red Bull Salzburg in the Bundesliga at Raiffeisen Arena.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Lask Linz has a 43.5% probability of winning this match. Red Bull Salzburg has a 34.4% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.1%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Lask Linz have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Lask Linz are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Lask Linz average 2.3 goals per game
- With a combined average of 3.7 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Lask Linz43.5%2.62
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.561.5%1.49
Both Teams to Score
Yes63.8%1.42
Based on avg. implied odds from 11 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
7.19
14%
1-2
8.94
11.3%
2-1
9.22
10.9%
2-2
10.11
10%
0-1
11.53
8.8%
1-0
12.05
8.4%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.62 | Draw 3.60 | Away 2.41 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.49 | Under 2.47 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.14 | Under 5.11 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.23 | Under 1.61 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.42 | No 2.63 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.54 | 12 1.27 | X2 1.45 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals93.2%
Over 1.5 Goals81.7%
Over 2.5 Goals61.5%
Over 3.5 Goals41.9%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ried | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 28 | WLWDD |
| 1 |  Sturm Graz | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 38 | DDDDD |
| 2 |  SCR Altach | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 23 | LLDDW |
| 2 | Red Bull Salzburg | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 37 | DLWWL |
| 3 |  WSG Wattens | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 23 | LWDDL |
| 3 | Lask Linz | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 37 | WWDDW |
| 5 |  Wolfsberger AC | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 22 | WWLDD |
| 6 |  TSV Hartberg | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 33 | LLWDD |
| 6 |  FC BW Linz | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 20 | LWWDW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonLask LinzRed Bull Salzburg
2.3Goals p.g.1.42
1.45Goals conceded p.g.1.05
15%Clean sheets21%
60%Win rate42%
3.75Avg goals in match2.47
Recent Results
Lask LinzLAST MATCHES
04 MayLask Linz3–1Rapid ViennaBundesliga
01 MayLask Linz4–2SCR AltachCup
26 AprTSV Hartberg1–5Lask LinzBundesliga
22 AprSturm Graz1–1Lask LinzBundesliga
19 AprLask Linz1–1Sturm GrazBundesliga
10 AprRed Bull Salzburg2–3Lask LinzBundesliga
12Win60%
5Draw25%
3Lost15%
LAST MATCHESRed Bull Salzburg
03 MayRed Bull Salzburg1–1Sturm GrazBundesliga
26 AprRapid Vienna1–0Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
22 AprRed Bull Salzburg3–1Austria ViennaBundesliga
19 AprAustria Vienna1–3Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
10 AprRed Bull Salzburg2–3Lask LinzBundesliga
05 AprTSV Hartberg1–2Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
8Win42%
4Draw21%
7Lost37%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersLask Linz
No reported absences
Red Bull Salzburg
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.49 (61.5%)
Both Teams Score1.42 (63.8%)
Value Bets
Lask Linz Win2.62 (43.5%)
Red Bull Salzburg Win2.41 (34.4%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.47 (38.5%)
BTTS No2.63 (36.2%)
Speculative
Draw3.60 (22.1%)
