Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam
Telstar
#14 · Eredivisie
LWLWL
4 - 1
BUKO Stadion, Velsen-Zuid
Referee: Erwin Blank, Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
#10 · Eredivisie
DWLDL
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.61
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.55 for Over 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 58.6% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Telstar will face Sparta Rotterdam in the Eredivisie at BUKO Stadion.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Telstar has a 43.3% probability of winning this match. Sparta Rotterdam has a 34.4% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.3%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Telstar43.3%2.22
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.558.6%1.55
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes61.5%1.46
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.85
14.6%
2-1
8.47
11.9%
1-2
9.89
10.2%
1-0
10.35
9.7%
2-2
10.38
9.7%
0-1
12.00
8.4%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.22 | Draw 3.60 | Away 2.95 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.55 | Under 2.37 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.16 | Under 4.86 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.39 | Under 1.55 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.46 | No 2.52 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.38 | 12 1.27 | X2 1.63 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals92.8%
Over 1.5 Goals80.7%
Over 2.5 Goals58.6%
Over 3.5 Goals39.3%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Eredivisie Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 31 | 25 | 2 | 4 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 77 | WWWLL |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 41 | 21 | 55 | DDDWD |
| 3 |  NEC Nijmegen | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 48 | 24 | 54 | DWDWW |
| 4 |  Twente | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 53 | WWWLW |
| 5 |  Ajax | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 57 | 37 | 20 | 51 | WLDWL |
| 6 |  AZ Alkmaar | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 52 | 45 | 7 | 49 | DWWLW |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 42 | LLDWL |
| 14 | Telstar | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 30 | WLLWL |
| 16 |  Excelsior | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 28 | DLDLL |
| 17 |  NAC Breda | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 25 | DDLLD |
| 18 |  Heracles | 30 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 34 | 77 | -43 | 19 | LLDLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonTelstarSparta Rotterdam
1.46Goals p.g.1.38
1.62Goals conceded p.g.1.38
8%Clean sheets38%
31%Win rate38%
3.08Avg goals in match2.77
Recent Results
TelstarLAST MATCHES
04 AprTelstar0–2GroningenEredivisie
22 MarTelstar3–1PSV EindhovenEredivisie
14 MarHeerenveen3–0TelstarEredivisie
08 MarFortuna Sittard1–4TelstarEredivisie
04 MarAZ Alkmaar2–1TelstarKNVB Beker
27 FebTelstar3–0NAC BredaEredivisie
4Win31%
3Draw23%
6Lost46%
LAST MATCHESSparta Rotterdam
05 AprNAC Breda0–0Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
21 MarSparta Rotterdam2–0FC VolendamEredivisie
14 MarAjax4–0Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
08 MarSparta Rotterdam1–1PEC ZwolleEredivisie
28 FebHeerenveen2–1Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
22 FebAZ Alkmaar3–1Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
5Win38%
4Draw31%
4Lost31%
Lineups
ConfirmedTelstar3-4-2-1Confirmed
6Danny BakkerDEF
14Neville NwankwoDEF
21Devon KoswalDEF
8Tyrone OwusuFWD
37Sem van DuijnFWD
27Patrick BrouwerFWD
1Ronald Koeman JrGK
23Cedric HatenboerMID
4Guus OfferhausMID
2Jeff HardeveldMID
11Tyrese NoslinMID
Substitutes
5Nigel Ogidi NwankwoDEF
28Rojendro OudstenFWD
30Kay TejanFWD
19Nökkvi ÞórissonFWD
9Jelani SeedorfFWD
7Soufiane HetliFWD
20Daan ReizigerGK
13Finn MulderGK
39Jochem Ritmeester van de KampMID
Sparta Rotterdam4-2-3-1Confirmed
5Giannino VianelloDEF
3Marvin YoungDEF
2Lushendry Edward MartesDEF
4Julian BaasDEF
9Tobias LauritsenFWD
1Joël DrommelGK
8Ayoni SantosMID
6Joshua KitolanoMID
7Mitchell van BergenMID
10Vito van CrooijMID
11Milan ZonneveldMID
Substitutes
15Patrick van AanholtDEF
12Shurandy SamboDEF
14Bruno Martins IndiDEF
17Saïd BakariDEF
22Shunsuke MitoFWD
19Casper TerhoFWD
30Pascal KuiperGK
20Filip BednarekGK
13Jonathan de GuzmánMID
18Jens ToornstraMID
16Pelle ClementMID
21Alwande RoaldsoyMID
Unavailable Players
6 playersTelstar4
A. Lechkar
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
D. Malone
Missing FixtureInactive
G. Alders
Missing FixtureInactive
N. Thorisson
QuestionableHamstring Injury
Sparta Rotterdam2
M. Kleijn
Missing FixtureInactive
T. Quintero
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.55 (58.6%)
Both Teams Score1.46 (61.5%)
Value Bets
Telstar Win2.22 (43.3%)
Sparta Rotterdam Win2.95 (34.4%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.37 (41.4%)
BTTS No2.52 (38.5%)
Speculative
Draw3.60 (22.3%)
