Den Bosch vs Almere City FC
Den Bosch
LDLDW
VS
De Vliert
Almere City FC
LWLLW
★ OUR PICK
Den Bosch to Win
Slight home form and superior underlying numbers over Almere City FC make Den Bosch the value pick here.
Moneyline
2.60
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 2.51 (implied 39.8%) for Den Bosch to Win. Our model calculates a 40.1% probability, which translates to fair odds of 2.49. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Den Bosch will face Almere City FC in the Eredivisie at De Vliert.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Den Bosch has a 40.1% probability of winning this match. Almere City FC has a 38.4% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.4%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Almere City FC average 2.0 goals per game
- With a combined average of 3.6 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Den Bosch40.1%2.51
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.566.6%1.42
Both Teams to Score
Yes67.9%1.37
Based on avg. implied odds from 10 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
7.52
13.4%
1-2
9.36
10.8%
2-1
9.46
10.7%
2-2
9.67
10.4%
0-1
12.81
7.9%
1-0
13.06
7.8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.51 | Draw 3.71 | Away 2.49 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.42 | Under 2.72 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.11 | Under 5.86 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.06 | Under 1.73 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.37 | No 2.90 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.50 | 12 1.25 | X2 1.49 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals93.8%
Over 1.5 Goals84%
Over 2.5 Goals66.6%
Over 3.5 Goals45.6%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Eredivisie Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 31 | 25 | 2 | 4 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 77 | WWWLL |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 41 | 21 | 55 | DDDWD |
| 3 |  NEC Nijmegen | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 48 | 24 | 54 | DWDWW |
| 4 |  Twente | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 53 | WWWLW |
| 5 |  Ajax | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 57 | 37 | 20 | 51 | WLDWL |
| 6 |  AZ Alkmaar | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 52 | 45 | 7 | 49 | DWWLW |
| 16 |  Excelsior | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 28 | DLDLL |
| 17 |  NAC Breda | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 25 | DDLLD |
| 18 |  Heracles | 30 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 34 | 77 | -43 | 19 | LLDLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonDen BoschAlmere City FC
1.6Goals p.g.2
1.8Goals conceded p.g.1.6
10%Clean sheets20%
30%Win rate50%
3.4Avg goals in match3.6
Recent Results
Den BoschLAST MATCHES
24 AprDen Bosch1–3ADO Den HaagEerste Divisie
20 AprDen Bosch1–1Jong UtrechtEerste Divisie
17 AprFC OSS4–2Den BoschEerste Divisie
10 AprDen Bosch1–1CambuurEerste Divisie
06 AprAlmere City FC1–2Den BoschEerste Divisie
21 MarWaalwijk2–3Den BoschEerste Divisie
3Win30%
4Draw40%
3Lost30%
LAST MATCHESAlmere City FC
24 AprVVV Venlo3–1Almere City FCEerste Divisie
17 AprAlmere City FC4–1DordrechtEerste Divisie
12 AprWillem II2–1Almere City FCEerste Divisie
06 AprAlmere City FC1–2Den BoschEerste Divisie
03 AprAlmere City FC3–2FC OSSEerste Divisie
20 MarJong Ajax0–2Almere City FCEerste Divisie
5Win50%
1Draw10%
4Lost40%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersDen Bosch
No reported absences
Almere City FC
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.42 (66.6%)
Both Teams Score1.37 (67.9%)
Value Bets
Den Bosch Win2.51 (40.1%)
Almere City FC Win2.49 (38.4%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.72 (33.4%)
BTTS No2.90 (32.1%)
Speculative
Draw3.71 (21.4%)
