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Sydney vs Newcastle Jets

A-LeagueSemi-finals
Sydney
#5 · A-League
WDDWD
VS
Sydney Football Stadium, Sydney
Newcastle Jets
#1 · A-League
WDDLW
42.4%
Home Win
22%
Draw
35.6%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Sydney to Win
Slight home form and superior underlying numbers over Newcastle Jets make Sydney the value pick here.
Moneyline
2.37
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 2.29 for Sydney to Win. Our model calculates a 42.4% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Sydney will face Newcastle Jets in the A-League at Sydney Football Stadium.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Sydney has a 42.4% probability of winning this match. Newcastle Jets has a 35.6% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Sydney are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
  • Newcastle Jets average 2.2 goals per game
  • Sydney have kept clean sheets in 41% of their matches

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
1 — Sydney42.4%2.29
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.558.3%1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes60.7%1.41
Based on avg. implied odds from 10 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
7.30
13.8%
2-1
8.69
11.6%
1-2
9.82
10.3%
2-2
10.04
10%
1-0
11.53
8.7%
0-1
12.86
7.8%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 2.29Draw 3.67Away 2.79
O/U 2.5Over 1.48Under 2.52
O/U 1.5Over 1.13Under 5.32
O/U 3.5Over 2.21Under 1.64
BTTSYes 1.41No 2.71
Double Chance1X 1.4112 1.25X2 1.58

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
93.8%
Over 1.5 Goals
82.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
58.3%
Over 3.5 Goals
42.6%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

A-League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Newcastle Jets
26153855391648
WDDLW
2
Adelaide United
26127746361043
WWDDW
3
Auckland
26119642291342
DLDDL
4
Melbourne Victory
26117844331140
WDDLW
5
Sydney
2611693325839
DDWDL
6
Melbourne City
2610883333038
LWWWW
10
Perth Glory
2687113239-731
WDWDD
11
Brisbane Roar
2668122736-926
LLDDL
12
Western Sydney Wanderers
2656152743-1621
LLLLL

Key Statistics

2025 Season
SydneyNewcastle Jets
1.12Goals p.g.2.19
1.06Goals conceded p.g.1.06
41%Clean sheets25%
35%Win rate69%
2.18Avg goals in match3.25

Recent Results

SydneyLAST MATCHES
02 MayMelbourne Victory0–1SydneyA-League
26 AprSydney2–2AucklandA-League
18 AprSydney0–0Perth GloryA-League
11 AprWestern Sydney Wanderers0–2SydneyA-League
02 AprBrisbane Roar0–0SydneyA-League
22 MarSydney1–2Newcastle JetsA-League
6Win35%
5Draw29%
6Lost35%
LAST MATCHESNewcastle Jets
25 AprNewcastle Jets4–0Central Coast MarinersA-League
17 AprMelbourne Victory2–2Newcastle JetsA-League
11 AprNewcastle Jets1–1Adelaide UnitedA-League
02 AprMacarthur3–2Newcastle JetsA-League
22 MarSydney1–2Newcastle JetsA-League
14 MarNewcastle Jets1–2AucklandA-League
11Win69%
3Draw19%
2Lost13%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Sydney

No reported absences

Newcastle Jets

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.48 (58.3%)
Both Teams Score1.41 (60.7%)
●Value Bets
Sydney Win2.29 (42.4%)
Newcastle Jets Win2.79 (35.6%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.52 (41.7%)
BTTS No2.71 (39.3%)
●Speculative
Draw3.67 (22%)
Sydney vs Newcastle Jets Predictions, Stats, H2H - 9 May 2026 | SureTipsPro