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Auckland vs Adelaide United

A-LeagueSemi-finals
Auckland
#3 · A-League
DDLDD
VS
Go Media Stadium, Auckland
Adelaide United
#2 · A-League
WWDDW
46.4%
Home Win
21.7%
Draw
31.9%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.60
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.56 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 60.4% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Auckland will face Adelaide United in the A-League at Go Media Stadium.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Auckland has a 46.4% probability of winning this match. Adelaide United has a 31.9% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.7%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Adelaide United have won 3 of their last 5 games
  • Adelaide United are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
  • With a combined average of 3.5 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
1 — Auckland46.4%1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.558.3%1.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes60.4%1.56
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 11 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
7.00
14.3%
2-1
7.88
12.8%
1-0
8.90
11.3%
2-0
10.04
10%
1-2
11.40
8.9%
2-2
11.50
8.8%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 1.91Draw 3.71Away 3.58
O/U 2.5Over 1.63Under 2.22
O/U 1.5Over 1.18Under 4.40
O/U 3.5Over 2.57Under 1.48
BTTSYes 1.56No 2.29
Double Chance1X 1.2612 1.24X2 1.85

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
92.6%
Over 1.5 Goals
78.9%
Over 2.5 Goals
58.3%
Over 3.5 Goals
36.5%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

A-League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Newcastle Jets
26153855391648
WDDLW
2
Adelaide United
26127746361043
WWDDW
3
Auckland
26119642291342
DLDDL
4
Melbourne Victory
26117844331140
WDDLW
5
Sydney
2611693325839
DDWDL
6
Melbourne City
2610883333038
LWWWW
10
Perth Glory
2687113239-731
WDWDD
11
Brisbane Roar
2668122736-926
LLDDL
12
Western Sydney Wanderers
2656152743-1621
LLLLL

Key Statistics

2025 Season
AucklandAdelaide United
1.65Goals p.g.1.88
1.18Goals conceded p.g.1.44
24%Clean sheets6%
29%Win rate44%
2.82Avg goals in match3.31

Recent Results

AucklandLAST MATCHES
02 MayAuckland1–1Melbourne CityA-League
26 AprSydney2–2AucklandA-League
19 AprAuckland0–1Central Coast MarinersA-League
11 AprAuckland2–2Melbourne VictoryA-League
03 AprAdelaide United1–1AucklandA-League
21 MarAuckland1–2MacarthurA-League
5Win29%
8Draw47%
4Lost24%
LAST MATCHESAdelaide United
26 AprMelbourne City1–2Adelaide UnitedA-League
19 AprAdelaide United3–1MacarthurA-League
11 AprNewcastle Jets1–1Adelaide UnitedA-League
03 AprAdelaide United1–1AucklandA-League
20 MarWestern Sydney Wanderers2–4Adelaide UnitedA-League
14 MarCentral Coast Mariners1–1Adelaide UnitedA-League
7Win44%
7Draw44%
2Lost13%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Auckland

No reported absences

Adelaide United

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.63 (58.3%)
Both Teams Score1.56 (60.4%)
●Value Bets
Auckland Win1.91 (46.4%)
Adelaide United Win3.58 (31.9%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.22 (41.7%)
BTTS No2.29 (39.6%)
●Speculative
Draw3.71 (21.7%)
Auckland vs Adelaide United Predictions, Stats, H2H - 9 May 2026 | SureTipsPro