PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle
PSV Eindhoven
#1 · Eredivisie
WLLWL
6 - 1
Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
Referee: M. Nagtegaal
PEC Zwolle
#13 · Eredivisie
LWDDD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams Not to Score
One side looks comfortably the stronger and is likely to keep things clean — BTTS No is the value pick.
BTTS
2.88
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 2.68 for Both Teams Not to Score. Our model calculates a 33.3% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , PSV Eindhoven will face PEC Zwolle in the Eredivisie at Philips Stadion.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that PSV Eindhoven has a 65.9% probability of winning this match. PEC Zwolle has a 18.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 15.9%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- PSV Eindhoven sit 1st in the table, 12 places above their opponents
- PSV Eindhoven average 2.3 goals per game
- With a combined average of 3.7 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Strong confidenceMatch Result
1 — PSV Eindhoven65.9%1.33
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.573.4%1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes66.7%1.42
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-1
8.86
11.4%
3-1
9.24
10.9%
2-0
10.65
9.5%
3-0
11.14
9.1%
4-1
12.68
8%
1-1
12.80
7.9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.33 | Draw 5.88 | Away 7.36 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.22 | Under 3.92 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.05 | Under 9.18 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 1.62 | Under 2.24 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.42 | No 2.68 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.08 | 12 1.11 | X2 3.33 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals95.8%
Over 1.5 Goals89.6%
Over 2.5 Goals73.4%
Over 3.5 Goals58%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Eredivisie Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV Eindhoven | 31 | 25 | 2 | 4 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 77 | WWWLL |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 41 | 21 | 55 | DDDWD |
| 3 |  NEC Nijmegen | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 48 | 24 | 54 | DWDWW |
| 4 |  Twente | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 53 | WWWLW |
| 5 |  Ajax | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 57 | 37 | 20 | 51 | WLDWL |
| 6 |  AZ Alkmaar | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 52 | 45 | 7 | 49 | DWWLW |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 66 | -25 | 34 | LDLWD |
| 16 |  Excelsior | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 28 | DLDLL |
| 17 |  NAC Breda | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 25 | DDLLD |
| 18 |  Heracles | 30 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 34 | 77 | -43 | 19 | LLDLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonPSV EindhovenPEC Zwolle
2.31Goals p.g.1.38
1.77Goals conceded p.g.1.69
8%Clean sheets8%
54%Win rate23%
4.08Avg goals in match3.08
Recent Results
PSV EindhovenLAST MATCHES
04 AprPSV Eindhoven4–3UtrechtEredivisie
22 MarTelstar3–1PSV EindhovenEredivisie
14 MarPSV Eindhoven2–3NEC NijmegenEredivisie
07 MarPSV Eindhoven2–1AZ AlkmaarEredivisie
03 MarNEC Nijmegen3–2PSV EindhovenKNVB Beker
28 FebHeracles1–3PSV EindhovenEredivisie
7Win54%
1Draw8%
5Lost38%
LAST MATCHESPEC Zwolle
05 AprGO Ahead Eagles5–0PEC ZwolleEredivisie
21 MarPEC Zwolle2–1NAC BredaEredivisie
13 MarPEC Zwolle1–1GroningenEredivisie
08 MarSparta Rotterdam1–1PEC ZwolleEredivisie
01 MarPEC Zwolle0–0AjaxEredivisie
22 FebUtrecht1–1PEC ZwolleEredivisie
3Win23%
5Draw38%
5Lost38%
Lineups
ConfirmedPSV Eindhoven4-2-3-1Confirmed
3Yarek GasiorowskiDEF
17Mauro JúniorDEF
6Ryan FlamingoDEF
25Kiliann SildilliaDEF
9Ricardo PepiFWD
1Nick OlijGK
35Joel Van Den BergMID
19Esmir BajraktarevićMID
20Guus TilMID
11Couhaib DriouechMID
23Joey VeermanMID
Substitutes
36Wessel KuhnDEF
4Armando ObispoDEF
27Dennis ManFWD
5Ivan PerišićFWD
21Myron BoaduFWD
24Niek SchiksGK
32Matěj KovářGK
52Jordy BawuahMID
PEC Zwolle4-2-3-1Confirmed
28Simon GravesDEF
4Anselmo Garcia McNultyDEF
3Olivier AertssenDEF
2Sherel FloranusDEF
10Koen KostonsFWD
16Tom de GraaffGK
30Ryan ThomasMID
8Zico BuurmeesterMID
22Kaj de RooijMID
25Thijs OostingMID
18Odysseus VelanasMID
Substitutes
5Tijs VelthuisDEF
6Tristan GooijerDEF
42Dylan RuwardDEF
29Thomas BuitinkFWD
41Duke VerduinGK
48Len BakkerGK
34Nick FichtingerMID
37Gilles van der WalMID
20Gabriel ReizigerMID
Unavailable Players
15 playersPSV Eindhoven7
A. Plea
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
I. Saibari
Missing FixtureInjury
J. Schouten
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
N. Fernandez
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
P. Wanner
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
R. van Bommel
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
S. Dest
Missing FixtureHamstring Injury
PEC Zwolle8
D. Voute
Missing FixtureInactive
D. van der Haar
Missing FixtureInactive
J. Faberski
Missing FixtureInactive
J. Monteiro
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
J. Pereira da Gama
Missing FixtureInactive
J. Schendelaar
Missing FixtureThigh Injury
S. Lagsir
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
S. Shoretire
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
PSV Eindhoven Win1.33 (65.9%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.22 (73.4%)
Both Teams Score1.42 (66.7%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals3.92 (26.6%)
BTTS No2.68 (33.3%)
Speculative
Draw5.88 (15.9%)
PEC Zwolle Win7.36 (18.2%)
