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Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian

PremiershipChampionship Group - 36
Motherwell
#4 · Premiership
LWLLD
VS
Fir Park, Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
#1 · Premiership
WWWDW
38.7%
Home Win
23.9%
Draw
37.4%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.75
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.66 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 54.4% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Motherwell will face Heart Of Midlothian in the Premiership at Fir Park.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Motherwell has a 38.7% probability of winning this match. Heart Of Midlothian has a 37.4% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.9%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Heart Of Midlothian are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
  • Motherwell have kept clean sheets in 44% of their matches
  • Heart Of Midlothian have kept clean sheets in 44% of their matches

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
1 — Motherwell38.7%2.44
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.550.7%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes54.4%1.66
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 11 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
6.00
16.8%
1-0
8.22
12.3%
0-1
8.68
11.6%
2-1
8.96
11.3%
1-2
9.50
10.6%
0-0
9.92
10.1%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 2.44Draw 3.30Away 2.75
O/U 2.5Over 1.86Under 1.91
O/U 1.5Over 1.25Under 3.64
O/U 3.5Over 3.10Under 1.34
BTTSYes 1.66No 2.11
Double Chance1X 1.4112 1.30X2 1.51

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
90.6%
Over 1.5 Goals
74.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
49.3%
Over 3.5 Goals
30.2%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Premiership Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Dundee Utd
351013124857-943
LWWLW
1
Heart Of Midlothian
35237562303276
WWWDW
2
Celtic
35234864372773
WWWWL
2
Aberdeen
35107183650-1437
DWWLL
3
Rangers
351912469363369
LLWWW
3
Dundee
3599173556-2136
WLDLL
4
Motherwell
351512855322357
LWLLD
5
ST Mirren
3579192751-2430
LLLWW
6
Livingston
35214193968-2920
DWLDL
6
Falkirk
35147144751-449
WLLWL

Key Statistics

2025 Season
MotherwellHeart Of Midlothian
1.62Goals p.g.1.5
1.12Goals conceded p.g.0.88
44%Clean sheets44%
44%Win rate62%
2.75Avg goals in match2.38

Recent Results

MotherwellLAST MATCHES
02 MayFalkirk1–0MotherwellPremiership
26 AprRangers2–3MotherwellPremiership
11 AprHeart Of Midlothian3–1MotherwellPremiership
04 AprMotherwell2–3FalkirkPremiership
21 MarMotherwell0–0HibernianPremiership
14 MarCeltic3–1MotherwellPremiership
7Win44%
3Draw19%
6Lost38%
LAST MATCHESHeart Of Midlothian
04 MayHeart Of Midlothian2–1RangersPremiership
26 AprHibernian1–2Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
11 AprHeart Of Midlothian3–1MotherwellPremiership
05 AprLivingston2–2Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
21 MarHeart Of Midlothian1–0DundeePremiership
14 MarKilmarnock1–0Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
10Win63%
3Draw19%
3Lost19%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Motherwell

No reported absences

Heart Of Midlothian

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●Value Bets
Motherwell Win2.44 (38.7%)
Heart Of Midlothian Win2.75 (37.4%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.86 (49.3%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.91 (50.7%)
Both Teams Score1.66 (54.4%)
BTTS No2.11 (45.6%)
●Speculative
Draw3.30 (23.9%)
Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian Predictions, Stats, H2H - 9 May 2026 | SureTipsPro