GO Ahead Eagles vs AZ Alkmaar
GO Ahead Eagles
#11 · Eredivisie
WLWLW
0 - 0
De Adelaarshorst, Deventer
Referee: J. Manschot
AZ Alkmaar
#6 · Eredivisie
WLWLW
★ OUR PICK
AZ Alkmaar to Win
Slight away form and superior underlying numbers over GO Ahead Eagles make AZ Alkmaar the value pick here.
Moneyline
2.34
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 2.27 for AZ Alkmaar to Win. Our model calculates a 39.9% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , GO Ahead Eagles will face AZ Alkmaar in the Eredivisie at De Adelaarshorst.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that GO Ahead Eagles has a 38.3% probability of winning this match. AZ Alkmaar has a 39.9% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.8%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- GO Ahead Eagles have won 3 of their last 5 games
- AZ Alkmaar have won 3 of their last 5 games
- With a combined average of 3.6 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — AZ Alkmaar39.9%2.27
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.562.1%1.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes64%1.41
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
7.30
13.7%
1-2
8.68
11.6%
2-1
9.94
10.1%
2-2
10.09
10%
0-1
11.61
8.7%
1-0
12.95
7.8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.82 | Draw 3.72 | Away 2.27 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.46 | Under 2.57 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.13 | Under 5.45 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.20 | Under 1.65 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.41 | No 2.69 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.62 | 12 1.25 | X2 1.40 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals94.1%
Over 1.5 Goals82.8%
Over 2.5 Goals62.1%
Over 3.5 Goals42.8%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Eredivisie Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 31 | 25 | 2 | 4 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 77 | WWWLL |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 41 | 21 | 55 | DDDWD |
| 3 |  NEC Nijmegen | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 48 | 24 | 54 | DWDWW |
| 4 |  Twente | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 53 | WWWLW |
| 5 |  Ajax | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 57 | 37 | 20 | 51 | WLDWL |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 52 | 45 | 7 | 49 | DWWLW |
| 11 | GO Ahead Eagles | 31 | 8 | 13 | 10 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 37 | DDWLW |
| 16 |  Excelsior | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 28 | DLDLL |
| 17 |  NAC Breda | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 25 | DDLLD |
| 18 |  Heracles | 30 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 34 | 77 | -43 | 19 | LLDLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonGO Ahead EaglesAZ Alkmaar
1.69Goals p.g.1.94
1.31Goals conceded p.g.1.24
38%Clean sheets24%
31%Win rate59%
3Avg goals in match3.18
Recent Results
GO Ahead EaglesLAST MATCHES
05 AprGO Ahead Eagles5–0PEC ZwolleEredivisie
22 MarUtrecht2–0GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie
15 MarGO Ahead Eagles6–0NAC BredaEredivisie
08 MarGO Ahead Eagles1–4TwenteEredivisie
01 MarExcelsior0–1GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie
22 FebGO Ahead Eagles4–0HeraclesEredivisie
4Win31%
3Draw23%
6Lost46%
LAST MATCHESAZ Alkmaar
19 AprAZ Alkmaar5–1NEC NijmegenKNVB Beker
09 AprShakhtar Donetsk3–0AZ AlkmaarUEFA Europa Conference League
04 AprAZ Alkmaar2–0Fortuna SittardEredivisie
22 MarGroningen3–0AZ AlkmaarEredivisie
19 MarSparta Praha0–4AZ AlkmaarUEFA Europa Conference League
15 MarAZ Alkmaar4–0HeraclesEredivisie
10Win59%
1Draw6%
6Lost35%
Lineups
ConfirmedGO Ahead Eagles4-2-3-1Confirmed
4Joris KramerDEF
2Alfons SampstedDEF
29Aske AdelgaardDEF
26Julius DirksenDEF
9Stefán Ingi SigurðarsonFWD
22Jari De BusserGK
10Søren TengstedtMID
7Jakob BreumMID
21Melle MeulensteenMID
16Victor Kaj EdvardsenMID
17Mathis SurayMID
Substitutes
20Eus WaayersDEF
5Dean JamesDEF
25Giovanni van ZwamDEF
18Richonell MargaretFWD
19Jaden SloryFWD
27Finn StokkersFWD
23Thibo BaetenFWD
11Oskar Siira SivertsenFWD
1Luca PlogmannGK
8Evert LinthorstMID
24Kenzo GoudmijnMID
34Yassir RahmouniMID
AZ Alkmaar3-4-3Confirmed
23Billy van DuijlDEF
18Rion IchiharaDEF
5Alexandre PenetraDEF
17Isak Steiner JensenFWD
35Mexx MeerdinkFWD
7Weslley PatatiFWD
1Rome Jayden Owusu-OduroGK
34Mees de WitMID
10Sven MijnansMID
33Matěj ŠínMID
22Elijah DijkstraMID
Substitutes
2Seiya MaikumaDEF
3Wouter GoesDEF
4Maxim DekkerDEF
30Denso KasiusDEF
15Mateo ChávezDEF
24Ayoub OufkirFWD
27Ro-Zangelo DaalFWD
45Bendegúz KovácsFWD
11Ibrahim SadiqFWD
12Hobie VerhulstGK
20Kasper BoogaardMID
26Kees SmitMID
Unavailable Players
4 playersGO Ahead Eagles3
G. Nauber
Missing FixtureBroken Leg
P. Saathof
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
R. Weijenberg
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
AZ Alkmaar1
J. Hornkamp
Missing FixtureInjury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.46 (62.1%)
Both Teams Score1.41 (64%)
Value Bets
GO Ahead Eagles Win2.82 (38.3%)
AZ Alkmaar Win2.27 (39.9%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.57 (37.9%)
BTTS No2.69 (36%)
Speculative
Draw3.72 (21.8%)
