Feyenoord vs Groningen
Feyenoord
#2 · Eredivisie
DDWDL
3 - 1
De Kuip, Rotterdam
Referee: D. Makkelie
Groningen
#9 · Eredivisie
WWDWL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.57
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.55 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 58.4% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Feyenoord will face Groningen in the Eredivisie at De Kuip.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Feyenoord has a 53.3% probability of winning this match. Groningen has a 26.5% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 20.2%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Groningen have won 3 of their last 5 games
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Feyenoord53.3%1.64
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.557.8%1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes58.4%1.55
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-1
7.59
13.2%
1-1
7.91
12.7%
2-0
8.97
11.2%
1-0
8.98
11.2%
3-1
10.94
9.2%
2-2
12.35
8.2%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.64 | Draw 4.22 | Away 4.56 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.52 | Under 2.42 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.15 | Under 5.01 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.32 | Under 1.59 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.55 | No 2.30 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.19 | 12 1.21 | X2 2.20 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals93.9%
Over 1.5 Goals81.3%
Over 2.5 Goals57.8%
Over 3.5 Goals40.6%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Eredivisie Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 31 | 25 | 2 | 4 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 77 | WWWLL |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 41 | 21 | 55 | DDDWD |
| 3 |  NEC Nijmegen | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 48 | 24 | 54 | DWDWW |
| 4 |  Twente | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 53 | WWWLW |
| 5 |  Ajax | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 57 | 37 | 20 | 51 | WLDWL |
| 6 |  AZ Alkmaar | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 52 | 45 | 7 | 49 | DWWLW |
| 9 | Groningen | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 42 | DWWDW |
| 16 |  Excelsior | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 28 | DLDLL |
| 17 |  NAC Breda | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 25 | DDLLD |
| 18 |  Heracles | 30 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 34 | 77 | -43 | 19 | LLDLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonFeyenoordGroningen
1.62Goals p.g.1.31
1.46Goals conceded p.g.1.15
31%Clean sheets31%
46%Win rate31%
3.08Avg goals in match2.46
Recent Results
FeyenoordLAST MATCHES
05 AprFC Volendam0–0FeyenoordEredivisie
22 MarFeyenoord1–1AjaxEredivisie
15 MarFeyenoord2–1ExcelsiorEredivisie
08 MarNAC Breda3–3FeyenoordEredivisie
01 MarTwente2–0FeyenoordEredivisie
22 FebFeyenoord2–1TelstarEredivisie
6Win46%
3Draw23%
4Lost31%
LAST MATCHESGroningen
04 AprTelstar0–2GroningenEredivisie
22 MarGroningen3–0AZ AlkmaarEredivisie
13 MarPEC Zwolle1–1GroningenEredivisie
07 MarGroningen3–1AjaxEredivisie
01 MarFC Volendam3–2GroningenEredivisie
22 FebTwente2–1GroningenEredivisie
4Win31%
2Draw15%
6Lost46%
Lineups
ConfirmedFeyenoord4-2-3-1Confirmed
4Tsuyoshi WatanabeDEF
18Gernot TraunerDEF
20Mats DeijlDEF
15Jordan BosDEF
9Ayase UedaFWD
22Timon WellenreutherGK
24Thijs KraaijeveldMID
10Luciano ValenteMID
44Tobias van den ElshoutMID
23Anis Hadj MoussaMID
28Oussama TarghallineMID
Substitutes
26Givairo ReadDEF
8Jeremiah St. JusteDEF
30Jordan LotombaDEF
19Raheem SterlingFWD
11Gonçalo BorgesFWD
27Gaoussou DiarraFWD
32Aymen SlitiFWD
17Casper TengstedtFWD
13Steven BendaGK
39Liam BossinGK
79Ilai GrootfaamMID
Groningen4-2-3-1Confirmed
3Thijmen BlokzijlDEF
5Marco RenteDEF
43Marvin PeersmanDEF
4Dies JanseDEF
26Thom van BergenFWD
1Etienne VaessenGK
8Tika de JongeMID
18Tygo LandMID
10Younes TahaMID
17David van der WerffMID
14Jorg SchreudersMID
Substitutes
15Elvis Van der LaanDEF
16Tyrique MerceraDEF
2Wouter PrinsDEF
22Sven BoulandDEF
27Rui MendesFWD
34Ryan MetuFWD
9Brynjólfur Darri WillumssonFWD
21Hidde JurjusGK
13Lovro ŠtubljarGK
20Mats SeuntjensMID
44Jismerai DillemaMID
7Travis HernesMID
Unavailable Players
12 playersFeyenoord10
B. Nieuwkoop
Missing FixtureInjury
G. Smal
Missing FixtureHip Injury
Hwang In-Beom
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
L. Sauer
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
M. Jeng
QuestionableLeg Injury
S. Steijn
QuestionableKnee Injury
S. Zand
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
S. van Persie
QuestionableKnee Injury
T. Beelen
QuestionableBroken Leg
T. van den Elshout
QuestionableInjury
Groningen2
O. Zawada
Missing FixtureArm Injury
S. Resink
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.52 (57.8%)
Both Teams Score1.55 (58.4%)
Value Bets
Feyenoord Win1.64 (53.3%)
Groningen Win4.56 (26.5%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.42 (42.2%)
BTTS No2.30 (41.6%)
Speculative
Draw4.22 (20.2%)
