AEK Athens FC vs Panathinaikos
AEK Athens FC
#1 · Super League 1
DWWLW
VS
Allwyn Arena, Athens
Panathinaikos
#4 · Super League 1
DLDWL
★ OUR PICK
AEK Athens FC to Win
Solid home form and superior underlying numbers over Panathinaikos make AEK Athens FC the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.70
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.59 for AEK Athens FC to Win. Our model calculates a 58.5% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , AEK Athens FC will face Panathinaikos in the Super League 1 at Allwyn Arena.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that AEK Athens FC has a 58.5% probability of winning this match. Panathinaikos has a 19.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.3%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- AEK Athens FC have won 3 of their last 5 games
- AEK Athens FC boast a strong defence, conceding just 0.7 goals per game
- AEK Athens FC have kept clean sheets in 58% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — AEK Athens FC58.5%1.59
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.556.9%1.68
Both Teams to Score
No54.3%1.70
Based on avg. implied odds from 7 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-0
5.56
18%
2-0
6.57
15.3%
1-1
6.95
14.5%
2-1
7.92
12.8%
0-0
8.58
11.8%
3-0
10.46
9.6%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.59 | Draw 3.68 | Away 5.88 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.15 | Under 1.68 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.36 | Under 3.02 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.77 | Under 1.25 | |
| BTTS | Yes 2.06 | No 1.70 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.13 | 12 1.25 | X2 2.32 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals88.8%
Over 1.5 Goals68.9%
Over 2.5 Goals43.1%
Over 3.5 Goals24.9%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Super League 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Levadiakos | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 57 | 42 | 15 | 25 | WLDWL |
| 1 |  Atromitos | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 40 | LWWWD |
| 1 | AEK Athens FC | 29 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 53 | 17 | 36 | 67 | DWWWD |
| 2 |  Aris Thessalonikis | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 | WWDLD |
| 2 |  PAOK | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 55 | 21 | 34 | 61 | WLDLW |
| 2 |  Kifisia | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 34 | WDDDD |
| 4 | Panathinaikos | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 51 | DLDWD |
| 4 |  Volos NFC | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 17 | LLDWL |
| 5 |  Asteras Tripolis | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 28 | WLWDD |
| 6 |  Larisa | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 28 | 50 | -22 | 25 | DLDLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonAEK Athens FCPanathinaikos
1.79Goals p.g.1.24
0.68Goals conceded p.g.1
58%Clean sheets35%
53%Win rate41%
2.47Avg goals in match2.24
Recent Results
AEK Athens FCLAST MATCHES
03 MayPanathinaikos0–0AEK Athens FCSuper League 1
19 AprAEK Athens FC3–0PAOKSuper League 1
16 AprAEK Athens FC3–1Rayo VallecanoUEFA Europa Conference League
09 AprRayo Vallecano3–0AEK Athens FCUEFA Europa Conference League
05 AprOlympiakos Piraeus0–1AEK Athens FCSuper League 1
22 MarAEK Athens FC3–0KifisiaSuper League 1
10Win53%
6Draw32%
3Lost16%
LAST MATCHESPanathinaikos
03 MayPanathinaikos0–0AEK Athens FCSuper League 1
19 AprPanathinaikos0–2Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League 1
05 AprPAOK0–0PanathinaikosSuper League 1
22 MarAsteras Tripolis1–2PanathinaikosSuper League 1
19 MarReal Betis4–0PanathinaikosUEFA Europa League
15 MarPanathinaikos0–0PanetolikosSuper League 1
7Win41%
6Draw35%
4Lost24%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAEK Athens FC
No reported absences
Panathinaikos
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
AEK Athens FC Win1.59 (58.5%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.68 (56.9%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals2.15 (43.1%)
Both Teams Score2.06 (45.7%)
BTTS No1.70 (54.3%)
Speculative
Draw3.68 (22.3%)
Panathinaikos Win5.88 (19.2%)
