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Suduva Marijampole vs Džiugas Telšiai

A LygaRegular Season - 9
Suduva Marijampole
#4 · A Lyga
WLWDD
3 - 2
Marijampole Football Arena, Marijampole
Referee: D. Simenas
Džiugas Telšiai
#2 · A Lyga
WLWWD
46.3%
Home Win
25.3%
Draw
28.4%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.62
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.55 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 58.2% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Suduva Marijampole will face Džiugas Telšiai in the A Lyga at Marijampole Football Arena.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Suduva Marijampole has a 46.3% probability of winning this match. Džiugas Telšiai has a 28.4% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 25.3%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Džiugas Telšiai have won 3 of their last 5 games
  • Suduva Marijampole have kept clean sheets in 40% of their matches

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
1 — Suduva Marijampole46.3%2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.558.2%1.55
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No52.1%1.74
Based on avg. implied odds from 8 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
5.27
19.2%
1-0
5.34
18.9%
0-0
6.67
15%
2-0
7.50
13.5%
0-1
7.63
13.3%
2-1
7.80
13.1%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 2.00Draw 2.98Away 3.70
O/U 2.5Over 2.29Under 1.55
O/U 1.5Over 1.40Under 2.70
O/U 3.5Over 4.17Under 1.18
BTTSYes 1.96No 1.74
Double Chance1X 1.2212 1.30X2 1.67

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
86.7%
Over 1.5 Goals
65.8%
Over 2.5 Goals
41.8%
Over 3.5 Goals
22.2%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

A Lyga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Kauno Žalgiris
97112451922
LWWDW
2
Džiugas Telšiai
9522128417
LWWDW
3
TransINVEST Vilnius
94231211114
WLLDW
4
Suduva Marijampole
9342126613
WLWDD
5
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
93331110112
DDLDL
6
Panevėžys
9324815-711
LWLWW
8
Hegelmann Litauen
9162611-59
DLWDD
9
Šiauliai
9153713-68
WLDDL
10
FK Trakai
9036320-173
DDLDL

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Suduva MarijampoleDžiugas Telšiai
1.53Goals p.g.1.12
1.2Goals conceded p.g.1
40%Clean sheets38%
40%Win rate38%
2.73Avg goals in match2.12

Recent Results

Suduva MarijampoleLAST MATCHES
19 AprSuduva Marijampole3–2Džiugas TelšiaiA Lyga
11 AprBanga2–1Suduva MarijampoleA Lyga
03 AprSuduva Marijampole5–0FK TrakaiA Lyga
21 MarKauno Žalgiris1–1Suduva MarijampoleA Lyga
14 MarSuduva Marijampole0–0Hegelmann LitauenA Lyga
10 MarFK Zalgiris Vilnius1–0Suduva MarijampoleA Lyga
6Win40%
5Draw33%
4Lost27%
LAST MATCHESDžiugas Telšiai
22 AprNeptūną Klaipėda0–2Džiugas TelšiaiCup
19 AprSuduva Marijampole3–2Džiugas TelšiaiA Lyga
12 AprDžiugas Telšiai1–0ŠiauliaiA Lyga
05 AprPanevėžys0–1Džiugas TelšiaiA Lyga
22 MarTransINVEST Vilnius0–0Džiugas TelšiaiA Lyga
15 MarBanga0–1Džiugas TelšiaiA Lyga
6Win38%
4Draw25%
4Lost25%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Suduva Marijampole

No reported absences

Džiugas Telšiai

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.55 (58.2%)
●Value Bets
Suduva Marijampole Win2.00 (46.3%)
Draw2.98 (25.3%)
Džiugas Telšiai Win3.70 (28.4%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.29 (41.8%)
Both Teams Score1.96 (47.9%)
BTTS No1.74 (52.1%)
Suduva Marijampole vs Džiugas Telšiai Predictions, Stats, H2H - 19 Apr 2026 | SureTipsPro