Banga vs Kauno Žalgiris

Banga
#7 · A Lyga
WWDLL
VS
Gargzdai stadium, Gargzdai

Kauno Žalgiris
#1 · A Lyga
LWWDW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.82
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.82 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 51.7% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Banga will face Kauno Žalgiris in the A Lyga at Gargzdai stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Banga has a 28.6% probability of winning this match. Kauno Žalgiris has a 49.6% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 21.8%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Kauno Žalgiris have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Kauno Žalgiris average 2.3 goals per game
- Kauno Žalgiris have a solid defence with 0.6 goals conceded per game
- Kauno Žalgiris have kept clean sheets in 53% of their matches
- With a combined average of 3.9 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Kauno Žalgiris49.6%1.61
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.551.1%1.81
Both Teams to Score
Yes51.7%1.82
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 2 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes0-1
5.10
19.6%
1-1
5.10
19.6%
0-2
5.40
18.5%
1-2
5.50
18.2%
0-3
7.00
14.3%
0-0
7.00
14.3%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 4.77 | Draw 3.55 | Away 1.61 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.81 | Under 1.83 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.25 | Under 3.30 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.05 | Under 1.30 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.82 | No 1.86 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 2.00 | 12 1.20 | X2 1.11 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals—
Over 1.5 Goals72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals51.1%
Over 3.5 Goals29.9%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
A Lyga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 5 | 19 | 22 | LWWDW | |
| 2 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 17 | LWWDW | |
| 3 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 | WLLDW | |
| 4 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 13 | WLWDD | |
| 5 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 12 | DDLDL | |
| 6 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 11 | LWLWW | |
| 7 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 11 | DWDLL | |
| 8 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 9 | DLWDD | |
| 9 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 8 | WLDDL | |
| 10 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 20 | -17 | 3 | DDLDL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonBangaKauno Žalgiris
1.53Goals p.g.2.33
1.07Goals conceded p.g.0.6
27%Clean sheets53%
33%Win rate80%
2.6Avg goals in match2.93
Recent Results
BangaLAST MATCHES
21 AprVilniaus Vytis0–4BangaCup
11 AprBanga2–1Suduva MarijampoleA Lyga
04 AprŠiauliai0–0BangaA Lyga
21 MarBanga0–1PanevėžysA Lyga
15 MarBanga0–1Džiugas TelšiaiA Lyga
11 MarTransINVEST Vilnius1–0BangaA Lyga
5Win33%
3Draw20%
6Lost40%
LAST MATCHESKauno Žalgiris
18 AprKauno Žalgiris1–2TransINVEST VilniusA Lyga
11 AprKauno Žalgiris5–0Hegelmann LitauenA Lyga
05 AprFK Zalgiris Vilnius0–3Kauno ŽalgirisA Lyga
21 MarKauno Žalgiris1–1Suduva MarijampoleA Lyga
15 MarŠiauliai0–5Kauno ŽalgirisA Lyga
10 MarKauno Žalgiris4–0PanevėžysA Lyga
12Win80%
1Draw7%
2Lost13%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
Banga
No reported absences
Kauno Žalgiris
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Banga Win4.77 (28.6%)
Kauno Žalgiris Win1.61 (49.6%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.81 (51.1%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.83 (48.9%)
Both Teams Score1.82 (51.7%)
BTTS No1.86 (48.3%)
Speculative
Draw3.55 (21.8%)







