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Džiugas Telšiai vs Hegelmann Litauen

A LygaRegular Season - 11
Džiugas Telšiai
#2 · A Lyga
WLWWD
VS
Telsiai Central Stadium, Telsiai
Hegelmann Litauen
#8 · A Lyga
WLWDD
43.3%
Home Win
24.6%
Draw
32.1%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.64
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.64 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 56.4% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Džiugas Telšiai will face Hegelmann Litauen in the A Lyga at Telsiai Central Stadium.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Džiugas Telšiai has a 43.3% probability of winning this match. Hegelmann Litauen has a 32.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 24.6%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Džiugas Telšiai have won 3 of their last 5 games

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
1 — Džiugas Telšiai43.3%2.38
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.556.4%1.64
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No50.1%1.88
Based on avg. implied odds from 2 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
4.60
21.7%
1-0
5.50
18.2%
0-1
5.75
17.4%
0-0
6.10
16.4%
2-1
6.25
16%
1-2
6.50
15.4%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 2.38Draw 3.10Away 2.70
O/U 2.5Over 2.04Under 1.64
O/U 1.5Over 1.33Under 2.90
O/U 3.5Over 3.60Under 1.22
BTTSYes 1.80No 1.88
Double Chance1X 1.3312 1.26X2 1.41

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
—
Over 1.5 Goals
68.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
43.6%
Over 3.5 Goals
25.3%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

A Lyga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Kauno Žalgiris
97112451922
LWWDW
2
Džiugas Telšiai
9522128417
LWWDW
3
TransINVEST Vilnius
94231211114
WLLDW
4
Suduva Marijampole
9342126613
WLWDD
5
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
93331110112
DDLDL
6
Panevėžys
9324815-711
LWLWW
8
Hegelmann Litauen
9162611-59
DLWDD
9
Šiauliai
9153713-68
WLDDL
10
FK Trakai
9036320-173
DDLDL

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Džiugas TelšiaiHegelmann Litauen
1.12Goals p.g.1.33
1Goals conceded p.g.1.27
38%Clean sheets20%
38%Win rate40%
2.12Avg goals in match2.6

Recent Results

Džiugas TelšiaiLAST MATCHES
22 AprNeptūną Klaipėda0–2Džiugas TelšiaiCup
19 AprSuduva Marijampole3–2Džiugas TelšiaiA Lyga
12 AprDžiugas Telšiai1–0ŠiauliaiA Lyga
05 AprPanevėžys0–1Džiugas TelšiaiA Lyga
22 MarTransINVEST Vilnius0–0Džiugas TelšiaiA Lyga
15 MarBanga0–1Džiugas TelšiaiA Lyga
6Win38%
4Draw25%
4Lost25%
LAST MATCHESHegelmann Litauen
21 AprTauras1–4Hegelmann LitauenCup
11 AprKauno Žalgiris5–0Hegelmann LitauenA Lyga
04 AprHegelmann Litauen3–1TransINVEST VilniusA Lyga
22 MarHegelmann Litauen0–0FK Zalgiris VilniusA Lyga
14 MarSuduva Marijampole0–0Hegelmann LitauenA Lyga
11 MarHegelmann Litauen1–1ŠiauliaiA Lyga
6Win40%
5Draw33%
4Lost27%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Džiugas Telšiai

No reported absences

Hegelmann Litauen

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.64 (56.4%)
●Value Bets
Džiugas Telšiai Win2.38 (43.3%)
Hegelmann Litauen Win2.70 (32.1%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.04 (43.6%)
Both Teams Score1.80 (49.9%)
BTTS No1.88 (50.1%)
●Speculative
Draw3.10 (24.6%)
Džiugas Telšiai vs Hegelmann Litauen Predictions, Stats, H2H - 1 May 2026 | SureTipsPro