Shakhtar Donetsk vs Crystal Palace
Shakhtar Donetsk
#6 · UEFA Europa Conference League
WWDWW
VS
Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana
Crystal Palace
#10 · UEFA Europa Conference League
DWW?W
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.79
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.72 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 56.4% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Shakhtar Donetsk will face Crystal Palace in the UEFA Europa Conference League at Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Shakhtar Donetsk has a 36.9% probability of winning this match. Crystal Palace has a 39.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 24%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Shakhtar Donetsk are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- Crystal Palace have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Crystal Palace are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Shakhtar Donetsk boast a strong defence, conceding just 0.7 goals per game
- Shakhtar Donetsk have kept clean sheets in 44% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Crystal Palace39.1%1.96
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.556.4%1.72
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No51.6%1.86
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.97
16.8%
0-1
6.28
16%
1-2
8.17
12.3%
0-2
8.53
11.8%
0-0
8.65
11.6%
1-0
9.75
10.3%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 3.92 | Draw 3.33 | Away 1.96 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.10 | Under 1.72 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.34 | Under 3.10 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.77 | Under 1.24 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.86 | No 1.86 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.81 | 12 1.31 | X2 1.24 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals89.1%
Over 1.5 Goals69.8%
Over 2.5 Goals43.6%
Over 3.5 Goals24.8%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
UEFA Europa Conference League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Strasbourg | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Raków Częstochowa | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 14 | WWWDD |
| 3 |  AEK Athens FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 13 | WWWDW |
| 4 |  Sparta Praha | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 13 | WWWDL |
| 5 |  Rayo Vallecano | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13 | WWLWD |
| 6 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 13 | DWWWL |
| 10 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 10 | DWLWL |
| 34 |  Shelbourne | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 2 | DLLLL |
| 35 |  Aberdeen | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 | -11 | 2 | LLDDL |
| 36 |  Rapid Vienna | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 14 | -11 | 1 | DLLLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonShakhtar DonetskCrystal Palace
1.89Goals p.g.1.24
0.67Goals conceded p.g.0.88
44%Clean sheets41%
67%Win rate41%
2.56Avg goals in match2.12
Recent Results
Shakhtar DonetskLAST MATCHES
23 AprZorya Luhansk1–2Shakhtar DonetskPremier League
20 AprShakhtar Donetsk1–0PolessyaPremier League
13 AprLNZ Cherkasy2–2Shakhtar DonetskPremier League
09 AprShakhtar Donetsk3–0AZ AlkmaarUEFA Europa Conference League
05 AprShakhtar Donetsk3–0Ruh LvivPremier League
19 MarShakhtar Donetsk1–2Lech PoznanUEFA Europa Conference League
12Win67%
1Draw6%
3Lost17%
LAST MATCHESCrystal Palace
20 AprCrystal Palace0–0West HamPremier League
12 AprCrystal Palace2–1NewcastlePremier League
09 AprCrystal Palace3–0FiorentinaUEFA Europa Conference League
21 MarManchester City–Crystal PalacePremier League
19 MarAEK Larnaca1–2Crystal PalaceUEFA Europa Conference League
15 MarCrystal Palace0–0LeedsPremier League
7Win41%
5Draw29%
4Lost24%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersShakhtar Donetsk
No reported absences
Crystal Palace
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.72 (56.4%)
Value Bets
Shakhtar Donetsk Win3.92 (36.9%)
Crystal Palace Win1.96 (39.1%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.10 (43.6%)
Both Teams Score1.86 (48.4%)
BTTS No1.86 (51.6%)
Speculative
Draw3.33 (24%)