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Rayo Vallecano vs Strasbourg

UEFA Europa Conference LeagueSemi-finals
Rayo Vallecano
#5 · UEFA Europa Conference League
WLWWL
VS
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas, Madrid
Strasbourg
#1 · UEFA Europa Conference League
LLLWW
47.4%
Home Win
24.1%
Draw
28.5%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.80
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.77 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 52.9% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Rayo Vallecano will face Strasbourg in the UEFA Europa Conference League at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Rayo Vallecano has a 47.4% probability of winning this match. Strasbourg has a 28.5% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 24.1%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Rayo Vallecano have won 3 of their last 5 games

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
1 — Rayo Vallecano47.4%2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.552.4%1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes52.9%1.77
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
5.98
16.8%
1-0
6.95
14.4%
2-1
8.39
12%
0-1
8.98
11.2%
0-0
9.04
11.1%
2-0
9.76
10.3%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 2.20Draw 3.26Away 3.23
O/U 2.5Over 2.03Under 1.77
O/U 1.5Over 1.32Under 3.21
O/U 3.5Over 3.55Under 1.27
BTTSYes 1.77No 1.95
Double Chance1X 1.3212 1.31X2 1.66

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
89.6%
Over 1.5 Goals
70.9%
Over 2.5 Goals
47.6%
Over 3.5 Goals
26.4%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Strasbourg
6510115616
WWWWD
2
Raków Częstochowa
642092714
WWWDD
3
AEK Athens FC
6411147713
WWWDW
4
Sparta Praha
6411103713
WWWDL
5
Rayo Vallecano
6411137613
WWLWD
6
Shakhtar Donetsk
6411105513
DWWWL
34
Shelbourne
602407-72
DLLLL
35
Aberdeen
6024314-112
LLDDL
36
Rapid Vienna
6015314-111
DLLLL

Key Statistics

2025 Season
Rayo VallecanoStrasbourg
1.22Goals p.g.1.56
1.17Goals conceded p.g.1.33
28%Clean sheets11%
39%Win rate44%
2.39Avg goals in match2.89

Recent Results

Rayo VallecanoLAST MATCHES
23 AprRayo Vallecano1–0EspanyolLa Liga
12 AprMallorca3–0Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
09 AprRayo Vallecano3–0AEK Athens FCUEFA Europa Conference League
03 AprRayo Vallecano1–0ElcheLa Liga
22 MarBarcelona1–0Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
19 MarRayo Vallecano0–1SamsunsporUEFA Europa Conference League
7Win39%
4Draw22%
7Lost39%
LAST MATCHESStrasbourg
22 AprStrasbourg0–2NiceCoupe de France
19 AprStrasbourg0–3RennesLigue 1
09 AprFSV Mainz 052–0StrasbourgUEFA Europa Conference League
04 AprStrasbourg3–1NiceLigue 1
22 MarNantes2–3StrasbourgLigue 1
19 MarStrasbourg1–1HNK RijekaUEFA Europa Conference League
8Win44%
5Draw28%
5Lost28%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Rayo Vallecano

No reported absences

Strasbourg

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●Value Bets
Rayo Vallecano Win2.20 (47.4%)
Strasbourg Win3.23 (28.5%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.03 (47.6%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.77 (52.4%)
Both Teams Score1.77 (52.9%)
BTTS No1.95 (47.1%)
●Speculative
Draw3.26 (24.1%)
Rayo Vallecano vs Strasbourg Predictions, Stats, H2H - 30 Apr 2026 | SureTipsPro