PAOK vs Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
#3 · Super League 1
LDLWD
VS
Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki
Olympiakos Piraeus
#2 · Super League 1
WLDWD
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.67
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.67 (implied 59.9%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 65.0% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.54. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , PAOK will face Olympiakos Piraeus in the Super League 1 at Toumba Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that PAOK has a 39.5% probability of winning this match. Olympiakos Piraeus has a 34.8% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 25.7%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- PAOK boast a strong defence, conceding just 0.7 goals per game
- Olympiakos Piraeus have a solid defence with 0.5 goals conceded per game
- PAOK have kept clean sheets in 57% of their matches
- Olympiakos Piraeus have kept clean sheets in 57% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — PAOK39.5%2.45
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.565%1.67
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No57.6%1.85
Based on avg. implied odds from 1 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.40
15.6%
1-0
7.00
14.3%
0-0
7.50
13.3%
0-1
8.00
12.5%
2-1
10.25
9.8%
1-2
11.50
8.7%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.45 | Draw 3.25 | Away 3.00 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.25 | Under 1.67 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.42 | Under 2.95 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 4.00 | Under 1.25 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.90 | No 1.85 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.42 | 12 1.32 | X2 1.57 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals87.3%
Over 1.5 Goals67.5%
Over 2.5 Goals35%
Over 3.5 Goals23.8%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Super League 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AEK Athens FC | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 53 | 17 | 36 | 66 | WWWDW |
| 1 |  Atromitos | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 37 | WWDDL |
| 1 |  Levadiakos | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 22 | LDWLL |
| 2 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 47 | 12 | 35 | 61 | WLDWD |
| 2 |  Kifisia | 30 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 30 | DDDLL |
| 2 |  OFI | 28 | 11 | 3 | 14 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 20 | WDWLD |
| 3 | PAOK | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 52 | 20 | 32 | 58 | LDLWD |
| 4 |  Volos NFC | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 17 | LDWLD |
| 5 |  Panserraikos | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 62 | -41 | 24 | LWDWD |
| 6 |  Asteras Tripolis | 29 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 22 | DDWLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonPAOKOlympiakos Piraeus
1.07Goals p.g.1.07
0.71Goals conceded p.g.0.5
57%Clean sheets57%
36%Win rate43%
1.79Avg goals in match1.57
Recent Results
PAOKLAST MATCHES
19 AprAEK Athens FC3–0PAOKSuper League 1
05 AprPAOK0–0PanathinaikosSuper League 1
22 MarVolos NFC2–1PAOKSuper League 1
15 MarPAOK3–0LevadiakosSuper League 1
08 MarOlympiakos Piraeus0–0PAOKSuper League 1
04 MarKifisia1–4PAOKSuper League 1
5Win36%
5Draw36%
4Lost29%
LAST MATCHESOlympiakos Piraeus
19 AprPanathinaikos0–2Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League 1
05 AprOlympiakos Piraeus0–1AEK Athens FCSuper League 1
22 MarOlympiakos Piraeus0–0LarisaSuper League 1
14 MarOFI0–3Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League 1
08 MarOlympiakos Piraeus0–0PAOKSuper League 1
01 MarPanserraikos1–2Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League 1
6Win43%
5Draw36%
3Lost21%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersPAOK
No reported absences
Olympiakos Piraeus
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.67 (65%)
BTTS No1.85 (57.6%)
Value Bets
PAOK Win2.45 (39.5%)
Draw3.25 (25.7%)
Olympiakos Piraeus Win3.00 (34.8%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.25 (35%)
Both Teams Score1.90 (42.4%)
