OFI vs Aris Thessalonikis
OFI
#2 · Super League 1
WDWLD
VS
Pankritio Stadium, Heraklion
Aris Thessalonikis
#3 · Super League 1
WDLDD
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.65
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.61 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 58.5% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , OFI will face Aris Thessalonikis in the Super League 1 at Pankritio Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that OFI has a 42% probability of winning this match. Aris Thessalonikis has a 33.3% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 24.6%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — OFI42%2.74
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.558.5%1.61
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No52.7%1.81
Based on avg. implied odds from 2 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.40
15.6%
0-1
7.10
14.1%
0-0
7.40
13.5%
1-0
7.40
13.5%
1-2
10.75
9.3%
2-1
11.00
9.1%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.74 | Draw 3.23 | Away 2.56 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.24 | Under 1.61 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.41 | Under 2.80 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 4.03 | Under 1.22 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.96 | No 1.81 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.52 | 12 1.32 | X2 1.47 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals87.2%
Over 1.5 Goals66.6%
Over 2.5 Goals41.5%
Over 3.5 Goals23.3%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Super League 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AEK Athens FC | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 53 | 17 | 36 | 66 | WWWDW |
| 1 |  Atromitos | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 37 | WWDDL |
| 1 |  Levadiakos | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 22 | LDWLL |
| 2 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 47 | 12 | 35 | 61 | WLDWD |
| 2 |  Kifisia | 30 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 30 | DDDLL |
| 2 | OFI | 28 | 11 | 3 | 14 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 20 | WDWLD |
| 3 | Aris Thessalonikis | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 19 | WDLDD |
| 4 |  Volos NFC | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 17 | LDWLD |
| 5 |  Panserraikos | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 62 | -41 | 24 | LWDWD |
| 6 |  Asteras Tripolis | 29 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 22 | DDWLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonOFIAris Thessalonikis
1.43Goals p.g.0.79
1.21Goals conceded p.g.1.21
36%Clean sheets29%
50%Win rate14%
2.64Avg goals in match2
Recent Results
OFILAST MATCHES
18 AprOFI2–0LevadiakosSuper League 1
05 AprVolos NFC1–1OFISuper League 1
22 MarAris Thessalonikis0–2OFISuper League 1
14 MarOFI0–3Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League 1
08 MarVolos NFC1–1OFISuper League 1
04 MarPanathinaikos4–1OFISuper League 1
7Win50%
4Draw29%
3Lost21%
LAST MATCHESAris Thessalonikis
18 AprAris Thessalonikis3–2Volos NFCSuper League 1
05 AprLevadiakos1–1Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1
22 MarAris Thessalonikis0–2OFISuper League 1
14 MarPanserraikos0–0Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1
07 MarAris Thessalonikis0–0AtromitosSuper League 1
01 MarPanathinaikos3–1Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1
2Win14%
8Draw57%
4Lost29%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersOFI
No reported absences
Aris Thessalonikis
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.61 (58.5%)
Value Bets
OFI Win2.74 (42%)
Aris Thessalonikis Win2.56 (33.3%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.24 (41.5%)
Both Teams Score1.96 (47.3%)
BTTS No1.81 (52.7%)
Speculative
Draw3.23 (24.6%)
