Panetolikos vs Panserraikos

Panetolikos
#3 · Super League 1
DLWDD
2 - 3
Panetolikos Stadium, Agrinio
Referee: A. Sidiropoulos

Panserraikos
#5 · Super League 1
LWDWD
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.61
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.57 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 57.7% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Panetolikos will face Panserraikos in the Super League 1 at Panetolikos Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Panetolikos has a 50% probability of winning this match. Panserraikos has a 25.4% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 24.6%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Both teams average a combined 1.9 goals per game, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Panetolikos50%1.84
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.557.7%1.57
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No53.2%1.67
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-0
5.31
18.9%
1-1
6.06
16.6%
0-0
7.00
14.4%
2-0
7.34
13.7%
2-1
8.41
12%
0-1
9.36
10.8%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.84 | Draw 3.16 | Away 4.49 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.31 | Under 1.57 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.41 | Under 2.69 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 4.35 | Under 1.18 | |
| BTTS | Yes 2.08 | No 1.67 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.17 | 12 1.30 | X2 1.90 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals86.9%
Over 1.5 Goals65.5%
Over 2.5 Goals42.3%
Over 3.5 Goals21.4%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Super League 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 53 | 17 | 36 | 66 | WWWDW | |
| 1 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 37 | WWDDL | |
| 1 | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 22 | LDWLL | |
| 2 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 47 | 12 | 35 | 61 | WLDWD | |
| 2 | 30 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 30 | DDDLL | |
| 2 | 28 | 11 | 3 | 14 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 20 | WDWLD | |
| 3 | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 30 | LWDDD | |
| 4 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 17 | LDWLD | |
| 5 | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 62 | -41 | 24 | LWDWD | |
| 6 | 29 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 22 | DDWLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonPanetolikosPanserraikos
1Goals p.g.0.88
1.38Goals conceded p.g.1.69
12%Clean sheets25%
25%Win rate31%
2.38Avg goals in match2.56
Recent Results
PanetolikosLAST MATCHES
22 AprAsteras Tripolis1–1PanetolikosSuper League 1
18 AprPanetolikos2–3PanserraikosSuper League 1
08 AprLarisa1–2PanetolikosSuper League 1
04 AprPanetolikos1–1AtromitosSuper League 1
22 MarPanetolikos0–0PanserraikosSuper League 1
15 MarPanathinaikos0–0PanetolikosSuper League 1
4Win25%
4Draw25%
8Lost50%
LAST MATCHESPanserraikos
22 AprPanserraikos0–4AtromitosSuper League 1
18 AprPanetolikos2–3PanserraikosSuper League 1
08 AprPanserraikos0–0Asteras TripolisSuper League 1
04 AprKifisia1–2PanserraikosSuper League 1
22 MarPanetolikos0–0PanserraikosSuper League 1
14 MarPanserraikos0–0Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1
5Win31%
4Draw25%
7Lost44%
Lineups
Confirmed
Panetolikos4-1-4-1Confirmed
16Christos SielisDEF
28Lazar KojićDEF
35Charis MavriasDEF
65Apostolos ApostolopoulosDEF
25Youssouph BadjiFWD
99Yevhenii KucherenkoGK
19Farley RosaMID
10Alexandru MățanMID
22Diego EstebanMID
14Kosta AleksićMID
41Andreas BouchalakisMID
Substitutes
2Gustav GranathDEF
5Sebastian MladenDEF
31Juan Manuel GarcíaFWD
70Lenny LobatoFWD
7Lampros SmyrlisFWD
9Jorge AguirreFWD
12Živko ŽivkovićGK
71Konrad MichalakMID
30Adriano BregouMID
77Vangelis NikolaouMID
8Christos BelevonisMID
18Giannis SatsiasMID
Panserraikos5-3-2Confirmed
30Volnei FeltesDEF
14Marios TsaousisDEF
88Igor KalininDEF
5Iva GelashviliDEF
19Lefteris LyratzisDEF
11Alex TeixeiraFWD
9Andrei IvanFWD
77Francisco TinagliniGK
7Adrián RieraMID
6Samir Ben SallamMID
40Stephane OmeongaMID
Substitutes
4Aristotelis KarasalidisDEF
31Yoël ArmougomDEF
23Charalampos GeorgiadisDEF
81Vernon De MarcoDEF
21Marios SofianosFWD
80Nikolaos KarelisFWD
20Alexandros TsompanidisGK
17Alexandros MaskanakisMID
8Angelos LiasosMID
28Ethan Duncan BrooksMID
24Giannis DoiranlisMID
63Viktor RumyantsevMID
Unavailable Players
0 players
Panetolikos
No reported absences
Panserraikos
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.57 (57.7%)
Value Bets
Panetolikos Win1.84 (50%)
Panserraikos Win4.49 (25.4%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.31 (42.3%)
Both Teams Score2.08 (46.8%)
BTTS No1.67 (53.2%)
Speculative
Draw3.16 (24.6%)







