Panathinaikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus
Panathinaikos
#4 · Super League 1
LDWLD
0 - 2
Olympic Stadium of Athens, Athens
Referee: H. U. Meler
Olympiakos Piraeus
#2 · Super League 1
WLDWD
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.60
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.56 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 63.4% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Panathinaikos will face Olympiakos Piraeus in the Super League 1 at Olympic Stadium of Athens.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Panathinaikos has a 30.7% probability of winning this match. Olympiakos Piraeus has a 43.8% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 25.5%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Olympiakos Piraeus have a solid defence with 0.5 goals conceded per game
- Olympiakos Piraeus have kept clean sheets in 57% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Olympiakos Piraeus43.8%1.97
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.563.4%1.56
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No57.3%1.69
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes0-1
5.44
18.4%
1-1
5.96
16.8%
0-0
7.01
14.3%
0-2
7.79
12.9%
1-2
8.34
12.1%
1-0
8.94
11.3%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 3.99 | Draw 3.12 | Away 1.97 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.34 | Under 1.56 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.43 | Under 2.65 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 4.47 | Under 1.18 | |
| BTTS | Yes 2.05 | No 1.69 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.80 | 12 1.31 | X2 1.21 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals86.8%
Over 1.5 Goals64.9%
Over 2.5 Goals36.6%
Over 3.5 Goals20.9%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Super League 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AEK Athens FC | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 53 | 17 | 36 | 66 | WWWDW |
| 1 |  Atromitos | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 37 | WWDDL |
| 1 |  Levadiakos | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 22 | LDWLL |
| 2 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 47 | 12 | 35 | 61 | WLDWD |
| 2 |  Kifisia | 30 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 30 | DDDLL |
| 2 |  OFI | 28 | 11 | 3 | 14 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 20 | WDWLD |
| 4 | Panathinaikos | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 50 | LDWDW |
| 4 |  Volos NFC | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 17 | LDWLD |
| 5 |  Panserraikos | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 62 | -41 | 24 | LWDWD |
| 6 |  Asteras Tripolis | 29 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 22 | DDWLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonPanathinaikosOlympiakos Piraeus
1.31Goals p.g.1.07
1.06Goals conceded p.g.0.5
31%Clean sheets57%
44%Win rate43%
2.38Avg goals in match1.57
Recent Results
PanathinaikosLAST MATCHES
19 AprPanathinaikos0–2Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League 1
05 AprPAOK0–0PanathinaikosSuper League 1
22 MarAsteras Tripolis1–2PanathinaikosSuper League 1
19 MarReal Betis4–0PanathinaikosUEFA Europa League
15 MarPanathinaikos0–0PanetolikosSuper League 1
12 MarPanathinaikos1–0Real BetisUEFA Europa League
7Win44%
5Draw31%
4Lost25%
LAST MATCHESOlympiakos Piraeus
19 AprPanathinaikos0–2Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League 1
05 AprOlympiakos Piraeus0–1AEK Athens FCSuper League 1
22 MarOlympiakos Piraeus0–0LarisaSuper League 1
14 MarOFI0–3Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League 1
08 MarOlympiakos Piraeus0–0PAOKSuper League 1
01 MarPanserraikos1–2Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League 1
6Win43%
5Draw36%
3Lost21%
Lineups
ConfirmedPanathinaikos5-4-1Confirmed
2Davide CalabriaDEF
15Sverrir IngasonDEF
21Tin JedvajDEF
26Javier HernándezDEF
77Georgios KyriakopoulosDEF
7Andreas TettehFWD
40Alban LafontGK
20Vicente TabordaMID
10Santino AndinoMID
4Pedro ChirivellaMID
8Renato SanchesMID
Substitutes
27Giannis KotsirasDEF
5Ahmed ToubaDEF
19Karol ŚwiderskiFWD
23Pavlos PantelidisFWD
70Konstantinos KotsarisGK
88Adriano JagušićMID
16Adam Gnezda ČerinMID
11Tasos BakasetasMID
18Sotiris KontourisMID
6Manolis SiopisMID
28Facundo PellistriMID
72Miloš PantovićMID
Olympiakos Piraeus4-2-3-1Confirmed
23RodineiDEF
45Panagiotis RetsosDEF
5Lorenzo PirolaDEF
3Francisco OrtegaDEF
9Ayoub El KaabiFWD
88Konstantinos TzolakisGK
20CostinhaMID
32Santiago HezzeMID
14Dani GarciaMID
10Gelson MartinsMID
22ChiquinhoMID
Substitutes
4Giulian BianconeDEF
21Ruben VezoDEF
6Alexios KalogeropoulosDEF
97Yusuf YazıcıFWD
17André LuizFWD
99Mehdi TaremiFWD
56Daniel PodenceFWD
1Alexandros PaschalakisGK
61Georgios KouraklisGK
16Lorenzo ScipioniMID
96Christos MouzakitisMID
8Diogo NascimentoMID
Unavailable Players
0 playersPanathinaikos
No reported absences
Olympiakos Piraeus
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.56 (63.4%)
BTTS No1.69 (57.3%)
Value Bets
Panathinaikos Win3.99 (30.7%)
Draw3.12 (25.5%)
Olympiakos Piraeus Win1.97 (43.8%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.34 (36.6%)
Both Teams Score2.05 (42.7%)
