Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens FC
Panathinaikos
#4 · Super League 1
LDWLD
VS
Olympic Stadium of Athens, Athens
AEK Athens FC
#1 · Super League 1
WLWWL
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.75
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.75 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 55.3% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Panathinaikos will face AEK Athens FC in the Super League 1 at Olympic Stadium of Athens.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Panathinaikos has a 33.5% probability of winning this match. AEK Athens FC has a 40.7% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 25.8%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- AEK Athens FC have won 3 of their last 5 games
- AEK Athens FC have a solid defence with 0.7 goals conceded per game
- AEK Athens FC have kept clean sheets in 59% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — AEK Athens FC40.7%2.45
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.555.3%1.75
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes51%1.78
Based on avg. implied odds from 1 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.00
16.7%
0-1
7.30
13.7%
0-0
7.50
13.3%
1-0
9.00
11.1%
1-2
9.75
10.3%
2-1
11.50
8.7%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 3.20 | Draw 3.05 | Away 2.45 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.15 | Under 1.75 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.39 | Under 3.15 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.70 | Under 1.28 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.78 | No 1.98 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.57 | 12 1.36 | X2 1.37 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals87.3%
Over 1.5 Goals69.4%
Over 2.5 Goals44.7%
Over 3.5 Goals25.7%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Super League 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Athens FC | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 53 | 17 | 36 | 66 | WWWDW |
| 1 |  Atromitos | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 37 | WWDDL |
| 1 |  Levadiakos | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 22 | LDWLL |
| 2 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 47 | 12 | 35 | 61 | WLDWD |
| 2 |  Kifisia | 30 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 30 | DDDLL |
| 2 |  OFI | 28 | 11 | 3 | 14 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 20 | WDWLD |
| 4 | Panathinaikos | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 50 | LDWDW |
| 4 |  Volos NFC | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 17 | LDWLD |
| 5 |  Panserraikos | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 62 | -41 | 24 | LWDWD |
| 6 |  Asteras Tripolis | 29 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 22 | DDWLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonPanathinaikosAEK Athens FC
1.31Goals p.g.1.82
1.06Goals conceded p.g.0.71
31%Clean sheets59%
44%Win rate53%
2.38Avg goals in match2.53
Recent Results
PanathinaikosLAST MATCHES
19 AprPanathinaikos0–2Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League 1
05 AprPAOK0–0PanathinaikosSuper League 1
22 MarAsteras Tripolis1–2PanathinaikosSuper League 1
19 MarReal Betis4–0PanathinaikosUEFA Europa League
15 MarPanathinaikos0–0PanetolikosSuper League 1
12 MarPanathinaikos1–0Real BetisUEFA Europa League
7Win44%
5Draw31%
4Lost25%
LAST MATCHESAEK Athens FC
19 AprAEK Athens FC3–0PAOKSuper League 1
09 AprRayo Vallecano3–0AEK Athens FCUEFA Europa Conference League
05 AprOlympiakos Piraeus0–1AEK Athens FCSuper League 1
22 MarAEK Athens FC3–0KifisiaSuper League 1
19 MarAEK Athens FC0–2CeljeUEFA Europa Conference League
15 MarAtromitos2–2AEK Athens FCSuper League 1
9Win53%
5Draw29%
3Lost18%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersPanathinaikos
No reported absences
AEK Athens FC
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.75 (55.3%)
Value Bets
Panathinaikos Win3.20 (33.5%)
Draw3.05 (25.8%)
AEK Athens FC Win2.45 (40.7%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.15 (44.7%)
Both Teams Score1.78 (51%)
BTTS No1.98 (49%)
