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Larisa vs Panserraikos

Super League 1Relegation Group - 5
Larisa
#4 · Super League 1
DLLLD
0 - 1
AEL FC Arena, Larissa
Panserraikos
#5 · Super League 1
LWDWD
47%
Home Win
24%
Draw
29%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.58
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.56 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 58.9% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Larisa will face Panserraikos in the Super League 1 at AEL FC Arena.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Larisa has a 47% probability of winning this match. Panserraikos has a 29% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 24%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Both teams average a combined 1.8 goals per game, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
1 — Larisa47%1.86
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.558.9%1.56
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No53.7%1.69
Based on avg. implied odds from 11 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-0
5.41
18.6%
1-1
6.20
16.2%
0-0
7.40
13.6%
2-0
7.52
13.4%
2-1
8.23
12.2%
0-1
8.97
11.3%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 1.86Draw 3.30Away 4.20
O/U 2.5Over 2.33Under 1.56
O/U 1.5Over 1.41Under 2.70
O/U 3.5Over 4.42Under 1.18
BTTSYes 2.05No 1.69
Double Chance1X 1.2112 1.29X2 1.87

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
87.3%
Over 1.5 Goals
65.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
41.1%
Over 3.5 Goals
21%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Super League 1 Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
AEK Athens FC
28206253173666
WWWDW
1
Atromitos
30910113433137
WWDDL
1
Levadiakos
28127952401222
LDWLL
2
Olympiakos Piraeus
28187347123561
WLDWD
2
Kifisia
30712123545-1030
DDDLL
2
OFI
28113143746-920
WDWLD
4
Larisa
30412142748-2124
DLLLD
4
Volos NFC
2895142942-1317
LDWLD
5
Panserraikos
3066182162-4124
LWDWD
6
Asteras Tripolis
29410162543-1822
DDWLD

Key Statistics

2025 Season
LarisaPanserraikos
0.88Goals p.g.0.88
1.31Goals conceded p.g.1.69
31%Clean sheets25%
19%Win rate31%
2.19Avg goals in match2.56

Recent Results

LarisaLAST MATCHES
22 AprLarisa1–1KifisiaSuper League 1
18 AprAtromitos3–2LarisaSuper League 1
08 AprLarisa1–2PanetolikosSuper League 1
04 AprAsteras Tripolis3–1LarisaSuper League 1
22 MarOlympiakos Piraeus0–0LarisaSuper League 1
14 MarLarisa1–1Asteras TripolisSuper League 1
3Win19%
7Draw44%
6Lost38%
LAST MATCHESPanserraikos
22 AprPanserraikos0–4AtromitosSuper League 1
18 AprPanetolikos2–3PanserraikosSuper League 1
08 AprPanserraikos0–0Asteras TripolisSuper League 1
04 AprKifisia1–2PanserraikosSuper League 1
22 MarPanetolikos0–0PanserraikosSuper League 1
14 MarPanserraikos0–0Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1
5Win31%
4Draw25%
7Lost44%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Larisa

No reported absences

Panserraikos

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.56 (58.9%)
●Value Bets
Larisa Win1.86 (47%)
Panserraikos Win4.20 (29%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.33 (41.1%)
Both Teams Score2.05 (46.3%)
BTTS No1.69 (53.7%)
●Speculative
Draw3.30 (24%)
Larisa vs Panserraikos Predictions, Stats, H2H - 26 Apr 2026 | SureTipsPro