Larisa vs Kifisia
Larisa
#4 · Super League 1
DLLLD
1 - 1
AEL FC Arena, Larissa
Referee: A. Papapetrou
Kifisia
#2 · Super League 1
DDDLL
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.69
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.66 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 58.7% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Larisa will face Kifisia in the Super League 1 at AEL FC Arena.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Larisa has a 38.9% probability of winning this match. Kifisia has a 36.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 25%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Both teams average a combined 1.6 goals per game, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Larisa38.9%2.62
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.558.7%1.66
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No52.1%1.85
Based on avg. implied odds from 11 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.80
17.3%
0-1
7.31
13.7%
1-0
7.34
13.7%
0-0
8.03
12.6%
2-1
9.44
10.7%
1-2
9.61
10.5%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.62 | Draw 3.14 | Away 2.62 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.16 | Under 1.66 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.36 | Under 2.93 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.96 | Under 1.21 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.85 | No 1.85 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.44 | 12 1.32 | X2 1.44 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals88.4%
Over 1.5 Goals68.3%
Over 2.5 Goals41.3%
Over 3.5 Goals23.4%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Super League 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AEK Athens FC | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 53 | 17 | 36 | 66 | WWWDW |
| 1 |  Atromitos | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 37 | WWDDL |
| 1 |  Levadiakos | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 22 | LDWLL |
| 2 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 47 | 12 | 35 | 61 | WLDWD |
| 2 | Kifisia | 30 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 30 | DDDLL |
| 2 |  OFI | 28 | 11 | 3 | 14 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 20 | WDWLD |
| 4 | Larisa | 30 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 24 | DLLLD |
| 4 |  Volos NFC | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 17 | LDWLD |
| 5 |  Panserraikos | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 62 | -41 | 24 | LWDWD |
| 6 |  Asteras Tripolis | 29 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 22 | DDWLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonLarisaKifisia
0.88Goals p.g.0.75
1.31Goals conceded p.g.1.5
31%Clean sheets25%
19%Win rate12%
2.19Avg goals in match2.25
Recent Results
LarisaLAST MATCHES
22 AprLarisa1–1KifisiaSuper League 1
18 AprAtromitos3–2LarisaSuper League 1
08 AprLarisa1–2PanetolikosSuper League 1
04 AprAsteras Tripolis3–1LarisaSuper League 1
22 MarOlympiakos Piraeus0–0LarisaSuper League 1
14 MarLarisa1–1Asteras TripolisSuper League 1
3Win19%
7Draw44%
6Lost38%
LAST MATCHESKifisia
22 AprLarisa1–1KifisiaSuper League 1
18 AprKifisia0–0Asteras TripolisSuper League 1
08 AprAtromitos0–0KifisiaSuper League 1
04 AprKifisia1–2PanserraikosSuper League 1
22 MarAEK Athens FC3–0KifisiaSuper League 1
15 MarKifisia2–0Volos NFCSuper League 1
2Win13%
6Draw38%
8Lost50%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersLarisa
No reported absences
Kifisia
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.66 (58.7%)
Value Bets
Larisa Win2.62 (38.9%)
Draw3.14 (25%)
Kifisia Win2.62 (36.1%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.16 (41.3%)
Both Teams Score1.85 (47.9%)
BTTS No1.85 (52.1%)
