Kauno Žalgiris vs TransINVEST Vilnius
Kauno Žalgiris
#1 · A Lyga
LWWDW
1 - 2
Referee: M. Jackus
TransINVEST Vilnius
#3 · A Lyga
WWLLD
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.73
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.67 for Over 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 56.9% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Kauno Žalgiris will face TransINVEST Vilnius in the A Lyga.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Kauno Žalgiris has a 59.1% probability of winning this match. TransINVEST Vilnius has a 21.4% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 19.5%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Kauno Žalgiris have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Kauno Žalgiris average 2.3 goals per game
- TransINVEST Vilnius average 2.3 goals per game
- Kauno Žalgiris boast a strong defence, conceding just 0.6 goals per game
- Kauno Žalgiris have kept clean sheets in 53% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Kauno Žalgiris59.1%1.39
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.556.9%1.67
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes54.6%1.84
Based on avg. implied odds from 10 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-0
6.12
16.4%
2-0
6.16
16.4%
2-1
7.10
14.3%
1-1
7.21
14.1%
3-0
8.50
11.9%
3-1
9.75
10.5%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.39 | Draw 4.15 | Away 6.52 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.67 | Under 2.01 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.19 | Under 3.82 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.65 | Under 1.38 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.84 | No 1.81 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.07 | 12 1.15 | X2 2.60 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals92.2%
Over 1.5 Goals76.1%
Over 2.5 Goals56.9%
Over 3.5 Goals34.3%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
A Lyga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kauno Žalgiris | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 5 | 19 | 22 | LWWDW |
| 2 |  Džiugas Telšiai | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 17 | LWWDW |
| 3 | TransINVEST Vilnius | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 | WLLDW |
| 4 |  Suduva Marijampole | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 13 | WLWDD |
| 5 |  FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 12 | DDLDL |
| 6 |  Panevėžys | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 11 | LWLWW |
| 8 |  Hegelmann Litauen | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 9 | DLWDD |
| 9 |  Šiauliai | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 8 | WLDDL |
| 10 |  FK Trakai | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 20 | -17 | 3 | DDLDL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonKauno ŽalgirisTransINVEST Vilnius
2.33Goals p.g.2.31
0.6Goals conceded p.g.1
53%Clean sheets38%
80%Win rate50%
2.93Avg goals in match3.31
Recent Results
Kauno ŽalgirisLAST MATCHES
18 AprKauno Žalgiris1–2TransINVEST VilniusA Lyga
11 AprKauno Žalgiris5–0Hegelmann LitauenA Lyga
05 AprFK Zalgiris Vilnius0–3Kauno ŽalgirisA Lyga
21 MarKauno Žalgiris1–1Suduva MarijampoleA Lyga
15 MarŠiauliai0–5Kauno ŽalgirisA Lyga
10 MarKauno Žalgiris4–0PanevėžysA Lyga
12Win80%
1Draw7%
2Lost13%
LAST MATCHESTransINVEST Vilnius
22 AprVenta1–10TransINVEST VilniusCup
18 AprKauno Žalgiris1–2TransINVEST VilniusA Lyga
12 AprTransINVEST Vilnius1–2PanevėžysA Lyga
04 AprHegelmann Litauen3–1TransINVEST VilniusA Lyga
22 MarTransINVEST Vilnius0–0Džiugas TelšiaiA Lyga
16 MarFK Zalgiris Vilnius1–2TransINVEST VilniusA Lyga
8Win50%
2Draw13%
4Lost25%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersKauno Žalgiris
No reported absences
TransINVEST Vilnius
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Kauno Žalgiris Win1.39 (59.1%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.67 (56.9%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.01 (43.1%)
Both Teams Score1.84 (54.6%)
BTTS No1.81 (45.4%)
Speculative
Draw4.15 (19.5%)
TransINVEST Vilnius Win6.52 (21.4%)
