Šiauliai vs Panevėžys
Šiauliai
#9 · A Lyga
?WLDD
3 - 1
Siauliai central stadium
Referee: D. Rumsas
Panevėžys
#6 · A Lyga
LWLWW
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.87
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.79 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 53.2% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Šiauliai will face Panevėžys in the A Lyga at Siauliai central stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Šiauliai has a 37.2% probability of winning this match. Panevėžys has a 39.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.7%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Panevėžys have won 3 of their last 5 games
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Panevėžys39.1%2.33
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.553.2%1.79
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes52%1.71
Based on avg. implied odds from 9 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.54
18.2%
0-1
6.98
14.5%
1-0
7.67
13.3%
1-2
7.77
13.1%
2-1
8.64
11.9%
0-0
8.85
11.4%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.67 | Draw 3.25 | Away 2.33 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.92 | Under 1.79 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.28 | Under 3.27 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.31 | Under 1.28 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.71 | No 1.99 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.50 | 12 1.27 | X2 1.37 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90.3%
Over 1.5 Goals71.8%
Over 2.5 Goals46.8%
Over 3.5 Goals27.9%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
A Lyga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 5 | 19 | 22 | LWWDW |
| 2 |  Džiugas Telšiai | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 17 | LWWDW |
| 3 |  TransINVEST Vilnius | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 | WLLDW |
| 4 |  Suduva Marijampole | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 13 | WLWDD |
| 5 |  FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 12 | DDLDL |
| 6 | Panevėžys | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 11 | LWLWW |
| 8 |  Hegelmann Litauen | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 9 | DLWDD |
| 9 | Šiauliai | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 8 | WLDDL |
| 10 |  FK Trakai | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 20 | -17 | 3 | DDLDL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonŠiauliaiPanevėžys
0.88Goals p.g.1.27
1.5Goals conceded p.g.1.27
25%Clean sheets27%
19%Win rate53%
2.38Avg goals in match2.53
Recent Results
ŠiauliaiLAST MATCHES
21 AprJonava–ŠiauliaiCup
18 AprŠiauliai3–1PanevėžysA Lyga
12 AprDžiugas Telšiai1–0ŠiauliaiA Lyga
04 AprŠiauliai0–0BangaA Lyga
20 MarFK Trakai1–1ŠiauliaiA Lyga
15 MarŠiauliai0–5Kauno ŽalgirisA Lyga
3Win19%
6Draw38%
6Lost38%
LAST MATCHESPanevėžys
18 AprŠiauliai3–1PanevėžysA Lyga
12 AprTransINVEST Vilnius1–2PanevėžysA Lyga
05 AprPanevėžys0–1Džiugas TelšiaiA Lyga
21 MarBanga0–1PanevėžysA Lyga
15 MarPanevėžys2–1FK TrakaiA Lyga
10 MarKauno Žalgiris4–0PanevėžysA Lyga
8Win53%
2Draw13%
5Lost33%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersŠiauliai
No reported absences
Panevėžys
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Šiauliai Win2.67 (37.2%)
Panevėžys Win2.33 (39.1%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.92 (46.8%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.79 (53.2%)
Both Teams Score1.71 (52%)
BTTS No1.99 (48%)
Speculative
Draw3.25 (23.7%)
