Hibernian vs Heart Of Midlothian
Hibernian
#5 · Premiership
WDDDW
1 - 2
Easter Road, Edinburgh
Referee: D. Robertson
Heart Of Midlothian
#1 · Premiership
DWLWW
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
2.02
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.90 (implied 52.6%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 53.5% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.87. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Hibernian will face Heart Of Midlothian in the Premiership at Easter Road.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Hibernian has a 38.6% probability of winning this match. Heart Of Midlothian has a 36.9% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 24.5%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Hibernian are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Heart Of Midlothian have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Heart Of Midlothian have kept clean sheets in 54% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Hibernian38.6%2.82
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.553.5%1.90
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes52%1.68
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.92
16.9%
0-1
8.06
12.5%
1-2
8.72
11.5%
1-0
8.96
11.2%
2-1
9.64
10.5%
0-0
9.95
10.1%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.82 | Draw 3.25 | Away 2.43 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.87 | Under 1.90 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.27 | Under 3.59 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.15 | Under 1.33 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.68 | No 2.09 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.52 | 12 1.30 | X2 1.40 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90.5%
Over 1.5 Goals73.9%
Over 2.5 Goals46.5%
Over 3.5 Goals29.8%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Premiership Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dundee Utd | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 45 | 54 | -9 | 40 | WLWDW |
| 1 | Heart Of Midlothian | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 58 | 28 | 30 | 70 | WDWLW |
| 2 |  Aberdeen | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 33 | WLLDL |
| 2 |  Rangers | 33 | 19 | 12 | 2 | 66 | 31 | 35 | 69 | WWWWD |
| 3 |  Dundee | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 53 | -19 | 33 | DLLDW |
| 3 |  Celtic | 33 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 67 | WWLWW |
| 5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 51 | LWDDD |
| 5 |  Kilmarnock | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 37 | 65 | -28 | 28 | DLWWL |
| 6 |  Falkirk | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 46 | LWLDW |
| 6 |  Livingston | 33 | 1 | 13 | 19 | 35 | 66 | -31 | 16 | LDLDD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonHibernianHeart Of Midlothian
1.38Goals p.g.1.31
1.08Goals conceded p.g.0.85
38%Clean sheets54%
38%Win rate54%
2.46Avg goals in match2.15
Recent Results
HibernianLAST MATCHES
04 AprHibernian3–0KilmarnockPremiership
21 MarMotherwell0–0HibernianPremiership
14 MarHibernian0–0LivingstonPremiership
28 FebDundee3–3HibernianPremiership
22 FebCeltic1–2HibernianPremiership
14 FebHibernian2–0ST MirrenPremiership
5Win38%
5Draw38%
3Lost23%
LAST MATCHESHeart Of Midlothian
05 AprLivingston2–2Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
21 MarHeart Of Midlothian1–0DundeePremiership
14 MarKilmarnock1–0Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
28 FebHeart Of Midlothian1–0AberdeenPremiership
21 FebHeart Of Midlothian1–0FalkirkPremiership
15 FebRangers4–2Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
7Win54%
3Draw23%
3Lost23%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersHibernian
No reported absences
Heart Of Midlothian
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Hibernian Win2.82 (38.6%)
Heart Of Midlothian Win2.43 (36.9%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.87 (46.5%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.90 (53.5%)
Both Teams Score1.68 (52%)
BTTS No2.09 (48%)
Speculative
Draw3.25 (24.5%)
