Livingston vs Aberdeen
Livingston
#6 · Premiership
DLDDD
VS
The Home of the Set Fare Arena, Livingston
Aberdeen
#2 · Premiership
LLDLL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.70
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.65 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 57.1% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Livingston will face Aberdeen in the Premiership at The Home of the Set Fare Arena.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Livingston has a 41.9% probability of winning this match. Aberdeen has a 34.4% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.7%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Livingston41.9%2.89
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.552.7%1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes57.1%1.65
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 9 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.09
16.5%
0-1
8.42
12%
1-2
8.57
11.7%
1-0
9.41
10.7%
2-1
9.66
10.5%
0-0
10.03
10.1%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.89 | Draw 3.32 | Away 2.38 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.85 | Under 1.92 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.26 | Under 3.62 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.07 | Under 1.35 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.65 | No 2.12 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.54 | 12 1.30 | X2 1.39 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90.6%
Over 1.5 Goals74.2%
Over 2.5 Goals52.7%
Over 3.5 Goals30.5%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Premiership Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dundee Utd | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 45 | 54 | -9 | 40 | WLWDW |
| 1 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 58 | 28 | 30 | 70 | WDWLW |
| 2 | Aberdeen | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 33 | WLLDL |
| 2 |  Rangers | 33 | 19 | 12 | 2 | 66 | 31 | 35 | 69 | WWWWD |
| 3 |  Dundee | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 53 | -19 | 33 | DLLDW |
| 3 |  Celtic | 33 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 67 | WWLWW |
| 5 |  Kilmarnock | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 37 | 65 | -28 | 28 | DLWWL |
| 6 |  Falkirk | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 46 | LWLDW |
| 6 | Livingston | 33 | 1 | 13 | 19 | 35 | 66 | -31 | 16 | LDLDD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonLivingstonAberdeen
1.08Goals p.g.1.08
1.85Goals conceded p.g.1.77
8%Clean sheets23%
0%Win rate23%
2.92Avg goals in match2.85
Recent Results
LivingstonLAST MATCHES
05 AprLivingston2–2Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
21 MarKilmarnock2–0LivingstonPremiership
14 MarHibernian0–0LivingstonPremiership
28 FebLivingston1–1ST MirrenPremiership
22 FebLivingston2–2RangersPremiership
14 FebDundee2–2LivingstonPremiership
0Win0%
8Draw62%
5Lost38%
LAST MATCHESAberdeen
04 AprST Mirren2–0AberdeenPremiership
21 MarRangers4–1AberdeenPremiership
14 MarAberdeen1–1FalkirkPremiership
07 MarDunfermline3–0AberdeenFA Cup
04 MarAberdeen1–2CelticPremiership
28 FebHeart Of Midlothian1–0AberdeenPremiership
3Win23%
2Draw15%
8Lost62%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersLivingston
No reported absences
Aberdeen
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Both Teams Score1.65 (57.1%)
Value Bets
Livingston Win2.89 (41.9%)
Aberdeen Win2.38 (34.4%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.85 (52.7%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.92 (47.3%)
BTTS No2.12 (42.9%)
Speculative
Draw3.32 (23.7%)
