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Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Kasımpaşa

Süper LigRegular Season - 33
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
#16 · Süper Lig
LWWLL
VS
Eryaman Stadium, Ankara
Kasımpaşa
#13 · Süper Lig
DLWDW
41.3%
Home Win
24.9%
Draw
33.7%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.76
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.71 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 56.4% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Gençlerbirliği S.K. will face Kasımpaşa in the Süper Lig at Eryaman Stadium.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Gençlerbirliği S.K. has a 41.3% probability of winning this match. Kasımpaşa has a 33.7% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 24.9%.

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
1 — Gençlerbirliği S.K.41.3%2.37
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.556.4%1.71
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No50.2%1.90
Based on avg. implied odds from 11 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
5.78
17.4%
1-0
7.01
14.3%
0-1
8.00
12.6%
0-0
8.13
12.4%
2-1
8.71
11.6%
1-2
9.97
10.2%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 2.37Draw 3.15Away 2.99
O/U 2.5Over 2.10Under 1.71
O/U 1.5Over 1.34Under 3.05
O/U 3.5Over 3.71Under 1.24
BTTSYes 1.80No 1.90
Double Chance1X 1.3712 1.33X2 1.55

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
88.3%
Over 1.5 Goals
69.5%
Over 2.5 Goals
43.6%
Over 3.5 Goals
25.1%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Süper Lig Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Galatasaray
32235473274674
LWWDW
2
Fenerbahçe
322010271343770
WLDWW
3
Trabzonspor
32199459352466
DLDDW
4
Beşiktaş
32178756362059
WDLWL
5
Göztepe
321313640281252
DWDDL
6
Başakşehir
32149953341951
LWDWD
13
Kasımpaşa
32711143046-1632
DLWDW
16
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
3277183045-1528
LWLLL
17
Kayserispor
32512152458-3427
DWLLL
18
Fatih Karagümrük
3266202853-2524
WDLLW

Key Statistics

2025 Season
Gençlerbirliği S.K.Kasımpaşa
0.89Goals p.g.1.18
1.33Goals conceded p.g.1.29
22%Clean sheets35%
22%Win rate35%
2.22Avg goals in match2.47

Recent Results

Gençlerbirliği S.K.LAST MATCHES
03 MayFatih Karagümrük1–0Gençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig
26 AprGençlerbirliği S.K.1–0KocaelisporSüper Lig
22 AprGalatasaray0–2Gençlerbirliği S.K.Türkiye Kupası
18 AprGençlerbirliği S.K.1–2GalatasaraySüper Lig
11 AprBaşakşehir3–0Gençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig
04 AprGençlerbirliği S.K.0–2GöztepeSüper Lig
4Win22%
5Draw28%
9Lost50%
LAST MATCHESKasımpaşa
03 MayKasımpaşa1–1KocaelisporSüper Lig
24 AprBaşakşehir4–0KasımpaşaSüper Lig
19 AprKasımpaşa1–0AlanyasporSüper Lig
12 AprGöztepe3–3KasımpaşaSüper Lig
04 AprKasımpaşa2–0KayserisporSüper Lig
19 MarBeşiktaş2–1KasımpaşaSüper Lig
6Win35%
5Draw29%
6Lost35%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

1 player

Gençlerbirliği S.K.1

✕A. Şahindere
Missing FixtureJumpers knee

Kasımpaşa

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.71 (56.4%)
●Value Bets
Gençlerbirliği S.K. Win2.37 (41.3%)
Kasımpaşa Win2.99 (33.7%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.10 (43.6%)
Both Teams Score1.80 (49.8%)
BTTS No1.90 (50.2%)
●Speculative
Draw3.15 (24.9%)
Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Kasımpaşa Predictions, Stats, H2H - 9 May 2026 | SureTipsPro