Celtic vs Falkirk
Celtic
#3 · Premiership
WWLWD
3 - 1
Celtic Park, Glasgow
Referee: R. Lee
Falkirk
#6 · Premiership
DWLDW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.83
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.74 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 56.8% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Celtic will face Falkirk in the Premiership at Celtic Park.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Celtic has a 64.5% probability of winning this match. Falkirk has a 18.6% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 16.9%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Celtic have won 3 of their last 5 games
- With a combined average of 3.6 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Celtic64.5%1.29
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.562.7%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes56.8%1.74
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-0
7.20
14%
2-1
7.98
12.6%
3-0
8.52
11.8%
1-0
8.53
11.8%
3-1
9.59
10.5%
1-1
10.06
10%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.29 | Draw 5.46 | Away 8.89 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.44 | Under 2.67 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.13 | Under 5.51 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.13 | Under 1.68 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.74 | No 2.00 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.07 | 12 1.13 | X2 3.30 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals94.1%
Over 1.5 Goals83%
Over 2.5 Goals62.7%
Over 3.5 Goals44.1%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Premiership Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dundee Utd | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 45 | 54 | -9 | 40 | WLWDW |
| 1 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 58 | 28 | 30 | 70 | WDWLW |
| 2 |  Aberdeen | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 33 | WLLDL |
| 2 |  Rangers | 33 | 19 | 12 | 2 | 66 | 31 | 35 | 69 | WWWWD |
| 3 |  Dundee | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 53 | -19 | 33 | DLLDW |
| 3 | Celtic | 33 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 67 | WWLWW |
| 5 |  Kilmarnock | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 37 | 65 | -28 | 28 | DLWWL |
| 6 | Falkirk | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 46 | LWLDW |
| 6 |  Livingston | 33 | 1 | 13 | 19 | 35 | 66 | -31 | 16 | LDLDD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonCelticFalkirk
1.93Goals p.g.1.71
1.36Goals conceded p.g.1.14
21%Clean sheets21%
64%Win rate50%
3.29Avg goals in match2.86
Recent Results
CelticLAST MATCHES
19 AprCeltic6–2ST MirrenFA Cup
05 AprDundee1–2CelticPremiership
22 MarDundee Utd2–0CelticPremiership
14 MarCeltic3–1MotherwellPremiership
08 MarRangers0–0CelticFA Cup
04 MarAberdeen1–2CelticPremiership
9Win64%
2Draw14%
3Lost21%
LAST MATCHESFalkirk
18 AprDunfermline0–0FalkirkFA Cup
04 AprMotherwell2–3FalkirkPremiership
21 MarFalkirk1–2ST MirrenPremiership
14 MarAberdeen1–1FalkirkPremiership
06 MarFalkirk2–1Dundee UtdFA Cup
28 FebFalkirk5–1KilmarnockPremiership
7Win50%
3Draw21%
4Lost29%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersCeltic
No reported absences
Falkirk
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Celtic Win1.29 (64.5%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.44 (62.7%)
Both Teams Score1.74 (56.8%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.67 (37.3%)
BTTS No2.00 (43.2%)
Speculative
Draw5.46 (16.9%)
Falkirk Win8.89 (18.6%)
