Başakşehir vs Samsunspor
Başakşehir
#6 · Süper Lig
LWDWD
VS
Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium, Istanbul
Samsunspor
#7 · Süper Lig
WWDWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.73
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.69 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 56.5% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Başakşehir will face Samsunspor in the Süper Lig at Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Başakşehir has a 48.4% probability of winning this match. Samsunspor has a 29.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.5%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Samsunspor are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- Samsunspor have kept clean sheets in 45% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Başakşehir48.4%1.88
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.553.6%1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes56.5%1.69
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 11 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.41
15.7%
1-0
7.28
13.8%
2-1
7.76
13%
2-0
9.04
11.1%
0-0
10.08
10%
0-1
11.11
9.1%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.88 | Draw 3.52 | Away 3.88 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.82 | Under 1.96 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.25 | Under 3.63 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.98 | Under 1.35 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.69 | No 2.05 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.24 | 12 1.27 | X2 1.86 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90.6%
Over 1.5 Goals74.4%
Over 2.5 Goals53.6%
Over 3.5 Goals31.2%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Süper Lig Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 73 | 27 | 46 | 74 | LWWDW |
| 2 |  Fenerbahçe | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 71 | 34 | 37 | 70 | WLDWW |
| 3 |  Trabzonspor | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 66 | DLDDW |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 56 | 36 | 20 | 59 | WDLWL |
| 5 |  Göztepe | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 52 | DWDDL |
| 6 | Başakşehir | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 51 | LWDWD |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 48 | WWWWL |
| 16 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 28 | LWLLL |
| 17 |  Kayserispor | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 24 | 58 | -34 | 27 | DWLLL |
| 18 |  Fatih Karagümrük | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 53 | -25 | 24 | WDLLW |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonBaşakşehirSamsunspor
1.88Goals p.g.1.55
1.24Goals conceded p.g.1.2
35%Clean sheets45%
53%Win rate55%
3.12Avg goals in match2.75
Recent Results
BaşakşehirLAST MATCHES
02 MayFenerbahçe3–1BaşakşehirSüper Lig
24 AprBaşakşehir4–0KasımpaşaSüper Lig
19 AprTrabzonspor1–1BaşakşehirSüper Lig
11 AprBaşakşehir3–0Gençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig
06 AprKocaelispor0–0BaşakşehirSüper Lig
18 MarBaşakşehir0–0AntalyasporSüper Lig
9Win53%
4Draw24%
4Lost24%
LAST MATCHESSamsunspor
02 MaySamsunspor4–1GalatasaraySüper Lig
27 AprAlanyaspor2–3SamsunsporSüper Lig
23 AprSamsunspor0–0TrabzonsporTürkiye Kupası
19 AprSamsunspor2–1BeşiktaşSüper Lig
13 AprEyüpspor1–2SamsunsporSüper Lig
09 AprRizespor4–1SamsunsporSüper Lig
11Win55%
4Draw20%
5Lost25%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersBaşakşehir
No reported absences
Samsunspor
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Both Teams Score1.69 (56.5%)
Value Bets
Başakşehir Win1.88 (48.4%)
Samsunspor Win3.88 (29.1%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.82 (53.6%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.96 (46.4%)
BTTS No2.05 (43.5%)
Speculative
Draw3.52 (22.5%)
