Atromitos vs Larisa
Atromitos
#1 · Super League 1
WWDDL
3 - 2
Peristeri Stadium, Athens
Referee: K. Katoikos
Larisa
#4 · Super League 1
DLLLD
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.61
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.56 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 60.9% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Atromitos will face Larisa in the Super League 1 at Peristeri Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Atromitos has a 56.7% probability of winning this match. Larisa has a 19.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 24.2%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Atromitos have kept clean sheets in 44% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Atromitos56.7%1.76
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.560.9%1.56
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No56.6%1.65
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-0
5.19
19.4%
1-1
6.20
16.2%
2-0
7.02
14.3%
0-0
7.05
14.3%
2-1
8.19
12.3%
0-1
9.76
10.4%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.76 | Draw 3.28 | Away 4.88 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.33 | Under 1.56 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.42 | Under 2.67 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 4.44 | Under 1.18 | |
| BTTS | Yes 2.11 | No 1.65 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.16 | 12 1.29 | X2 2.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals87%
Over 1.5 Goals65.3%
Over 2.5 Goals39.1%
Over 3.5 Goals21%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Super League 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AEK Athens FC | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 53 | 17 | 36 | 66 | WWWDW |
| 1 | Atromitos | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 37 | WWDDL |
| 1 |  Levadiakos | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 22 | LDWLL |
| 2 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 47 | 12 | 35 | 61 | WLDWD |
| 2 |  Kifisia | 30 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 30 | DDDLL |
| 2 |  OFI | 28 | 11 | 3 | 14 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 20 | WDWLD |
| 4 | Larisa | 30 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 24 | DLLLD |
| 4 |  Volos NFC | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 17 | LDWLD |
| 5 |  Panserraikos | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 62 | -41 | 24 | LWDWD |
| 6 |  Asteras Tripolis | 29 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 22 | DDWLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonAtromitosLarisa
1.31Goals p.g.0.88
0.88Goals conceded p.g.1.31
44%Clean sheets31%
38%Win rate19%
2.19Avg goals in match2.19
Recent Results
AtromitosLAST MATCHES
22 AprPanserraikos0–4AtromitosSuper League 1
18 AprAtromitos3–2LarisaSuper League 1
08 AprAtromitos0–0KifisiaSuper League 1
04 AprPanetolikos1–1AtromitosSuper League 1
22 MarLevadiakos1–0AtromitosSuper League 1
15 MarAtromitos2–2AEK Athens FCSuper League 1
6Win38%
7Draw44%
3Lost19%
LAST MATCHESLarisa
22 AprLarisa1–1KifisiaSuper League 1
18 AprAtromitos3–2LarisaSuper League 1
08 AprLarisa1–2PanetolikosSuper League 1
04 AprAsteras Tripolis3–1LarisaSuper League 1
22 MarOlympiakos Piraeus0–0LarisaSuper League 1
14 MarLarisa1–1Asteras TripolisSuper League 1
3Win19%
7Draw44%
6Lost38%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAtromitos
No reported absences
Larisa
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Atromitos Win1.76 (56.7%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.56 (60.9%)
BTTS No1.65 (56.6%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals2.33 (39.1%)
Both Teams Score2.11 (43.4%)
Speculative
Draw3.28 (24.2%)
Larisa Win4.88 (19.1%)
