Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis

Atromitos
#1 · Super League 1
WWDDL
2 - 1
Peristeri Stadium, Athens

Asteras Tripolis
#6 · Super League 1
DDDWL
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.57
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.53 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 61.0% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Atromitos will face Asteras Tripolis in the Super League 1 at Peristeri Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Atromitos has a 47.6% probability of winning this match. Asteras Tripolis has a 26.8% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 25.5%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Atromitos have kept clean sheets in 44% of their matches
- Both teams average a combined 2.0 goals per game, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Atromitos47.6%2.36
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.561%1.53
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No55.5%1.72
Based on avg. implied odds from 10 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.58
18%
1-0
6.21
16.3%
0-0
6.66
15.1%
0-1
7.16
14.1%
2-1
9.25
10.9%
2-0
9.97
10.3%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.36 | Draw 2.99 | Away 3.15 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.40 | Under 1.53 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.44 | Under 2.58 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 4.56 | Under 1.16 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.99 | No 1.72 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.34 | 12 1.35 | X2 1.55 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals86.1%
Over 1.5 Goals64.2%
Over 2.5 Goals39%
Over 3.5 Goals20.3%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Super League 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 53 | 17 | 36 | 66 | WWWDW | |
| 1 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 37 | WWDDL | |
| 1 | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 22 | LDWLL | |
| 2 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 47 | 12 | 35 | 61 | WLDWD | |
| 2 | 30 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 30 | DDDLL | |
| 2 | 28 | 11 | 3 | 14 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 20 | WDWLD | |
| 4 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 17 | LDWLD | |
| 5 | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 62 | -41 | 24 | LWDWD | |
| 6 | 29 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 22 | DDWLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonAtromitosAsteras Tripolis
1.31Goals p.g.0.69
0.88Goals conceded p.g.1.62
44%Clean sheets19%
38%Win rate12%
2.19Avg goals in match2.31
Recent Results
AtromitosLAST MATCHES
22 AprPanserraikos0–4AtromitosSuper League 1
18 AprAtromitos3–2LarisaSuper League 1
08 AprAtromitos0–0KifisiaSuper League 1
04 AprPanetolikos1–1AtromitosSuper League 1
22 MarLevadiakos1–0AtromitosSuper League 1
15 MarAtromitos2–2AEK Athens FCSuper League 1
6Win38%
7Draw44%
3Lost19%
LAST MATCHESAsteras Tripolis
22 AprAsteras Tripolis1–1PanetolikosSuper League 1
18 AprKifisia0–0Asteras TripolisSuper League 1
08 AprPanserraikos0–0Asteras TripolisSuper League 1
04 AprAsteras Tripolis3–1LarisaSuper League 1
22 MarAsteras Tripolis1–2PanathinaikosSuper League 1
14 MarLarisa1–1Asteras TripolisSuper League 1
2Win13%
4Draw25%
10Lost63%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
Atromitos
No reported absences
Asteras Tripolis
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.53 (61%)
BTTS No1.72 (55.5%)
Value Bets
Atromitos Win2.36 (47.6%)
Draw2.99 (25.5%)
Asteras Tripolis Win3.15 (26.8%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.40 (39%)
Both Teams Score1.99 (44.5%)







