Asteras Tripolis vs Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
#6 · Super League 1
DDDWL
2 - 1
Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium, Tripoli
Referee: I. Papadopoulos
Panetolikos
#3 · Super League 1
DLWDD
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.60
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.58 for Under 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 59.1% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Asteras Tripolis will face Panetolikos in the Super League 1 at Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Asteras Tripolis has a 43.1% probability of winning this match. Panetolikos has a 31.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 25.8%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Both teams average a combined 1.7 goals per game, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Asteras Tripolis43.1%2.24
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.559.1%1.58
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
No52.6%1.77
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.70
17.6%
1-0
6.06
16.6%
0-0
6.84
14.8%
0-1
7.91
12.8%
2-1
8.68
11.6%
2-0
9.56
10.5%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.24 | Draw 2.99 | Away 3.35 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.32 | Under 1.58 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.41 | Under 2.69 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 4.29 | Under 1.19 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.95 | No 1.77 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.29 | 12 1.34 | X2 1.61 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals86.6%
Over 1.5 Goals65.5%
Over 2.5 Goals40.9%
Over 3.5 Goals21.7%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Super League 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AEK Athens FC | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 53 | 17 | 36 | 66 | WWWDW |
| 1 |  Atromitos | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 37 | WWDDL |
| 1 |  Levadiakos | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 22 | LDWLL |
| 2 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 47 | 12 | 35 | 61 | WLDWD |
| 2 |  Kifisia | 30 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 30 | DDDLL |
| 2 |  OFI | 28 | 11 | 3 | 14 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 20 | WDWLD |
| 3 | Panetolikos | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 30 | LWDDD |
| 4 |  Volos NFC | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 17 | LDWLD |
| 5 |  Panserraikos | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 62 | -41 | 24 | LWDWD |
| 6 | Asteras Tripolis | 29 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 22 | DDWLD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonAsteras TripolisPanetolikos
0.69Goals p.g.1
1.62Goals conceded p.g.1.38
19%Clean sheets12%
12%Win rate25%
2.31Avg goals in match2.38
Recent Results
Asteras TripolisLAST MATCHES
22 AprAsteras Tripolis1–1PanetolikosSuper League 1
18 AprKifisia0–0Asteras TripolisSuper League 1
08 AprPanserraikos0–0Asteras TripolisSuper League 1
04 AprAsteras Tripolis3–1LarisaSuper League 1
22 MarAsteras Tripolis1–2PanathinaikosSuper League 1
14 MarLarisa1–1Asteras TripolisSuper League 1
2Win13%
4Draw25%
10Lost63%
LAST MATCHESPanetolikos
22 AprAsteras Tripolis1–1PanetolikosSuper League 1
18 AprPanetolikos2–3PanserraikosSuper League 1
08 AprLarisa1–2PanetolikosSuper League 1
04 AprPanetolikos1–1AtromitosSuper League 1
22 MarPanetolikos0–0PanserraikosSuper League 1
15 MarPanathinaikos0–0PanetolikosSuper League 1
4Win25%
4Draw25%
8Lost50%
Lineups
ConfirmedAsteras Tripolis4-4-1-1Confirmed
64Panagiotis DeligiannidisDEF
17Nikolai AlhoDEF
13Konstantinos TriantafyllopoulosDEF
3Nikola ŠipčićDEF
41Federico MachedaFWD
7Julián BartoloFWD
1Nikolaos PapadopoulosGK
68Christos AlmyrasMID
69Oluwatobiloba AlagbeMID
10Eder GonzálezMID
40Kalvin KetuMID
Substitutes
74Dimitris LaskarisDEF
27Alexandros TereziouDEF
4Issiaga SyllaDEF
2Robert IvanovDEF
96Alberto SimoniFWD
20Nikolaos KaltsasFWD
75Stefan MitrovićFWD
26Chidera OkohFWD
61Vasilis ChatziemmanouilGK
8Theofanis TzandarisMID
32Júnior MendietaMID
22Miguel Muñoz MoraMID
Panetolikos4-1-4-1Confirmed
2Gustav GranathDEF
35Charis MavriasDEF
16Christos SielisDEF
65Apostolos ApostolopoulosDEF
9Jorge AguirreFWD
99Yevhenii KucherenkoGK
41Andreas BouchalakisMID
14Kosta AleksićMID
18Giannis SatsiasMID
10Alexandru MățanMID
19Farley RosaMID
Substitutes
15Christian ManriqueDEF
5Sebastian MladenDEF
25Youssouph BadjiFWD
70Lenny LobatoFWD
7Lampros SmyrlisFWD
31Juan Manuel GarcíaFWD
12Živko ŽivkovićGK
77Vangelis NikolaouMID
30Adriano BregouMID
28Lazar KojićMID
22Diego EstebanMID
71Konrad MichalakMID
Unavailable Players
0 playersAsteras Tripolis
No reported absences
Panetolikos
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.58 (59.1%)
Value Bets
Asteras Tripolis Win2.24 (43.1%)
Draw2.99 (25.8%)
Panetolikos Win3.35 (31.2%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.32 (40.9%)
Both Teams Score1.95 (47.4%)
BTTS No1.77 (52.6%)
