Al Najma vs Al-Hazm
Al Najma
#18 · Pro League
DLLWL
VS
King Abdullah Sports City Stadium, Buraidah
Al-Hazm
#11 · Pro League
LDWWL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.65
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.61 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 58.3% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Al Najma will face Al-Hazm in the Pro League at King Abdullah Sports City Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Al Najma has a 31.8% probability of winning this match. Al-Hazm has a 45.7% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.5%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Both teams average a combined 2.0 goals per game, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Al-Hazm45.7%2.13
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.555.9%1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes58.3%1.61
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 9 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.21
16.2%
1-2
8.12
12.4%
0-1
8.20
12.3%
1-0
9.55
10.5%
2-1
9.73
10.4%
0-2
10.14
9.9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 3.05 | Draw 3.42 | Away 2.13 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.77 | Under 2.01 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.22 | Under 3.83 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.89 | Under 1.37 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.61 | No 2.15 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.66 | 12 1.27 | X2 1.32 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90.6%
Over 1.5 Goals75.7%
Over 2.5 Goals55.9%
Over 3.5 Goals32.2%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Nassr | 31 | 26 | 1 | 4 | 82 | 24 | 58 | 79 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 31 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 79 | 26 | 53 | 74 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 30 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 59 | 22 | 37 | 69 | WLDWL |
| 4 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 31 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 74 | 32 | 42 | 68 | WWDDL |
| 5 |  Al Taawon | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 57 | 41 | 16 | 52 | WLWLD |
| 6 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 49 | DWLWL |
| 11 | Al-Hazm | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 53 | -19 | 38 | LDWWL |
| 16 |  Al Riyadh | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 62 | -30 | 23 | LLLWD |
| 17 |  Al Okhdood | 31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 24 | 68 | -44 | 16 | LLLLW |
| 18 | Al Najma | 31 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 29 | 72 | -43 | 12 | DLLWL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonAl NajmaAl-Hazm
0.87Goals p.g.1.13
2.6Goals conceded p.g.1.6
7%Clean sheets7%
13%Win rate40%
3.47Avg goals in match2.73
Recent Results
Al NajmaLAST MATCHES
04 MayAl-Ettifaq0–0Al NajmaPro League
28 AprAl Khaleej Saihat3–1Al NajmaPro League
23 AprAl Najma1–2Al TaawonPro League
11 AprAl Najma2–1NEOMPro League
03 AprAl-Nassr5–2Al NajmaPro League
12 MarAl Najma1–3DamacPro League
2Win13%
2Draw13%
11Lost73%
LAST MATCHESAl-Hazm
02 MayAl-Hazm0–3Al-Hilal Saudi FCPro League
28 AprNEOM1–1Al-HazmPro League
24 AprAl-Hazm2–1Al RiyadhPro League
11 AprAl-Hazm2–0Al-FayhaPro League
03 AprAl-Ittihad FC1–0Al-HazmPro League
12 MarAl-Hazm2–1Al KholoodPro League
6Win40%
3Draw20%
6Lost40%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAl Najma
No reported absences
Al-Hazm
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.77 (55.9%)
Both Teams Score1.61 (58.3%)
Value Bets
Al Najma Win3.05 (31.8%)
Al-Hazm Win2.13 (45.7%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.01 (44.1%)
BTTS No2.15 (41.7%)
Speculative
Draw3.42 (22.5%)
