Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
#2 · Premiership
LLDLL
1 - 0
Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen
Referee: N. Walsh
Kilmarnock
#5 · Premiership
LWWLD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.70
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.66 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 59.4% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Aberdeen will face Kilmarnock in the Premiership at Pittodrie Stadium.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Aberdeen has a 44.5% probability of winning this match. Kilmarnock has a 32.9% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.6%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Aberdeen44.5%1.98
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.556.6%1.81
Both Teams to Score
Yes59.4%1.66
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.28
16%
1-0
7.65
13.1%
2-1
7.89
12.7%
2-0
9.55
10.5%
0-1
10.71
9.4%
0-0
10.79
9.4%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.98 | Draw 3.47 | Away 3.62 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.81 | Under 1.97 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.24 | Under 3.80 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.02 | Under 1.36 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.66 | No 2.11 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.26 | 12 1.27 | X2 1.78 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals91.1%
Over 1.5 Goals75.4%
Over 2.5 Goals56.6%
Over 3.5 Goals31%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Premiership Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dundee Utd | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 45 | 54 | -9 | 40 | WLWDW |
| 1 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 58 | 28 | 30 | 70 | WDWLW |
| 2 | Aberdeen | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 33 | WLLDL |
| 2 |  Rangers | 33 | 19 | 12 | 2 | 66 | 31 | 35 | 69 | WWWWD |
| 3 |  Dundee | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 53 | -19 | 33 | DLLDW |
| 3 |  Celtic | 33 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 67 | WWLWW |
| 5 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 37 | 65 | -28 | 28 | DLWWL |
| 6 |  Falkirk | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 46 | LWLDW |
| 6 |  Livingston | 33 | 1 | 13 | 19 | 35 | 66 | -31 | 16 | LDLDD |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonAberdeenKilmarnock
1.08Goals p.g.1.38
1.77Goals conceded p.g.2.31
23%Clean sheets23%
23%Win rate31%
2.85Avg goals in match3.69
Recent Results
AberdeenLAST MATCHES
04 AprST Mirren2–0AberdeenPremiership
21 MarRangers4–1AberdeenPremiership
14 MarAberdeen1–1FalkirkPremiership
07 MarDunfermline3–0AberdeenFA Cup
04 MarAberdeen1–2CelticPremiership
28 FebHeart Of Midlothian1–0AberdeenPremiership
3Win23%
2Draw15%
8Lost62%
LAST MATCHESKilmarnock
04 AprHibernian3–0KilmarnockPremiership
21 MarKilmarnock2–0LivingstonPremiership
14 MarKilmarnock1–0Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
28 FebFalkirk5–1KilmarnockPremiership
21 FebDundee Utd1–1KilmarnockPremiership
15 FebKilmarnock2–3CelticPremiership
4Win31%
2Draw15%
7Lost54%
Lineups
ConfirmedAberdeen3-4-1-2Confirmed
23Liam MorrisonDEF
22Jack MilneDEF
21Gavin MolloyDEF
15Kevin NisbetFWD
20Toyosi OlusanyaFWD
25Lyall CameronFWD
1Dimitar MitovGK
3Mitchel FrameMID
16Stuart ArmstrongMID
32Afeez AremuMID
28Alexander JensenMID
Substitutes
5Mats KnoesterDEF
42Elvis BwomonoDEF
81Topi KeskinenFWD
27Marko LazetićFWD
99Per Kristian BratveitGK
8Dennis GeigerMID
4Graeme ShinnieMID
18Ante PalaversaMID
38Dylan LobbanMID
Kilmarnock4-4-2Confirmed
2Jamie BrandonDEF
21Michael Schjønning-LarsenDEF
6Robbie DeasDEF
14George StangerDEF
44Joe HugillFWD
20Nicky CleșcencoFWD
1Max StryjekGK
11Greg KiltieMID
18Tom LoweryMID
36Aaron TshibolaMID
52Findlay CurtisMID
Substitutes
4Zac WilliamsDEF
5Lewis MayoDEF
3Dominic ThompsonDEF
19Bruce AndersonFWD
13Kelle RoosGK
7Rory McKenzieMID
12David WatsonMID
16Kyle MagennisMID
8Bradley LyonsMID
Unavailable Players
0 playersAberdeen
No reported absences
Kilmarnock
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.81 (56.6%)
Both Teams Score1.66 (59.4%)
Value Bets
Aberdeen Win1.98 (44.5%)
Kilmarnock Win3.62 (32.9%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.97 (43.4%)
BTTS No2.11 (40.6%)
Speculative
Draw3.47 (22.6%)
