Watford vs Sheffield Utd
Watford
#15 · Championship
LDLDW
0 - 2
Vicarage Road, Watford
Referee: J. Busby
Sheffield Utd
#14 · Championship
WLDLD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.67
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.63 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 53.9% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Watford will face Sheffield Utd in the Championship at Vicarage Road.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Watford has a 36% probability of winning this match. Sheffield Utd has a 40.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.8%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
2 — Sheffield Utd40.2%2.41
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.551.2%1.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes53.9%1.63
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.19
16.2%
0-1
8.39
12%
1-2
8.73
11.5%
1-0
9.33
10.8%
2-1
9.53
10.6%
0-0
10.58
9.5%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.82 | Draw 3.35 | Away 2.41 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.83 | Under 1.96 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.26 | Under 3.66 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.02 | Under 1.36 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.63 | No 2.16 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.54 | 12 1.29 | X2 1.40 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90.9%
Over 1.5 Goals74.4%
Over 2.5 Goals48.8%
Over 3.5 Goals31.1%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Coventry | 44 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 90 | 44 | 46 | 89 | WDDDW |
| 2 |  Millwall | 45 | 23 | 11 | 11 | 61 | 48 | 13 | 80 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Ipswich | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 79 | WDLWW |
| 4 |  Southampton | 44 | 21 | 13 | 10 | 77 | 53 | 24 | 76 | DWWWW |
| 5 |  Middlesbrough | 44 | 21 | 13 | 10 | 65 | 44 | 21 | 76 | WDLDL |
| 6 |  Wrexham | 44 | 19 | 13 | 12 | 66 | 60 | 6 | 70 | WWLLD |
| 14 | Sheffield Utd | 44 | 17 | 6 | 21 | 62 | 62 | 0 | 57 | LWWLD |
| 15 | Watford | 44 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 57 | LLLDL |
| 22 |  Oxford United | 44 | 10 | 14 | 20 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 44 | LLWDD |
| 23 |  Leicester | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 43 | DLLDD |
| 24 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 44 | 1 | 12 | 31 | 26 | 84 | -58 | -3 | LDDDL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonWatfordSheffield Utd
0.94Goals p.g.1.53
1.25Goals conceded p.g.1.2
19%Clean sheets20%
19%Win rate40%
2.19Avg goals in match2.73
Recent Results
WatfordLAST MATCHES
18 AprWatford0–2Sheffield UtdChampionship
06 AprWatford1–1CharltonChampionship
03 AprQPR2–1WatfordChampionship
21 MarWatford0–0LeicesterChampionship
17 MarWatford3–1WrexhamChampionship
14 MarStoke City3–1WatfordChampionship
3Win19%
7Draw44%
6Lost38%
LAST MATCHESSheffield Utd
18 AprWatford0–2Sheffield UtdChampionship
06 AprBristol City1–0Sheffield UtdChampionship
03 AprSheffield Utd3–3SwanseaChampionship
21 MarSheffield Utd1–2WrexhamChampionship
14 MarBirmingham1–1Sheffield UtdChampionship
11 MarNorwich2–1Sheffield UtdChampionship
6Win40%
4Draw27%
5Lost33%
Lineups
ConfirmedWatford4-4-2Confirmed
29Jeremy PetrisDEF
25James AbankwahDEF
3Saba GoglichidzeDEF
6Matthew PollockDEF
39Edo KayembeFWD
20Mamadou DoumbiaFWD
1Egil SelvikGK
10Imrân LouzaMID
42Othmane MaammaMID
23Nampalys MendyMID
66Nestory IrankundaMID
Substitutes
16Marc BolaDEF
2Jeremy NgakiaDEF
34Kwadwo BaahFWD
9Luca KjerrumgaardFWD
53Amin NabizadaFWD
12Nathan BaxterGK
7Tom InceMID
8Giorgi ChakvetadzeMID
15Edoardo BoveMID
Sheffield Utd4-2-3-1Confirmed
2Japhet TangangaDEF
14Harrison BurrowsDEF
25Mark McGuinnessDEF
38Femi SerikiDEF
45Patrick BamfordFWD
17Adam DaviesGK
48Joe RothwellMID
44Jairo RiedewaldMID
8Gustavo HamerMID
10Callum O'HareMID
11Andre BrooksMID
Substitutes
12Ki-Jana HoeverDEF
5Leo Fuhr HjeldeDEF
6Tyler BindonDEF
7Thomas CannonFWD
9Danny IngsFWD
31Luke FaxonGK
42Sydie PeckMID
24Tahith ChongMID
4Oliver ArblasterMID
Unavailable Players
9 playersWatford3
H. Kyprianou
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury
J. Grieves
Missing FixtureInactive
R. Vata
Missing FixtureHamstring Injury
Sheffield Utd6
J. Shackleton
Missing FixtureFoot Injury
K. Phillips
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
M. Cooper
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
S. McCallum
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury
S. Sachdev
Missing FixtureBroken leg
T. Campbell
Missing FixtureInactive
Betting Strategy
Value Bets
Watford Win2.82 (36%)
Sheffield Utd Win2.41 (40.2%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.83 (48.8%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.96 (51.2%)
Both Teams Score1.63 (53.9%)
BTTS No2.16 (46.1%)
Speculative
Draw3.35 (23.8%)
