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Southampton vs Ipswich

ChampionshipRegular Season - 40
Southampton
#4 · Championship
DWWWW
VS
St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton
Referee: T. Kirk
Ipswich
#3 · Championship
WDLWW
47.6%
Home Win
23%
Draw
29.4%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.65
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.58 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 58.6% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Southampton will face Ipswich in the Championship at St. Mary's Stadium.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Southampton has a 47.6% probability of winning this match. Ipswich has a 29.4% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Southampton are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
  • Ipswich have won 3 of their last 5 games
  • Southampton average 2.2 goals per game
  • Southampton boast a strong defence, conceding just 0.8 goals per game
  • With a combined average of 3.9 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Closely matched
Match Result
1 — Southampton47.6%2.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.555.6%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes58.6%1.58
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 11 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
6.32
15.9%
2-1
8.25
12.2%
1-0
8.55
11.8%
1-2
10.23
9.9%
0-1
10.56
9.6%
2-0
11.13
9.1%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 2.19Draw 3.42Away 3.14
O/U 2.5Over 1.73Under 2.08
O/U 1.5Over 1.22Under 4.01
O/U 3.5Over 2.75Under 1.42
BTTSYes 1.58No 2.25
Double Chance1X 1.3312 1.28X2 1.65

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
91.2%
Over 1.5 Goals
76.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
55.6%
Over 3.5 Goals
34%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Championship Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Coventry
442611790444689
WDDDW
2
Millwall
4523111161481380
WWDLW
3
Ipswich
432213875453079
WDLWW
4
Southampton
4421131077532476
DWWWW
5
Middlesbrough
4421131065442176
WDLDL
6
Wrexham
441913126660670
WWLLD
22
Oxford United
441014204156-1544
LLWDD
23
Leicester
451116185667-1143
DLLDD
24
Sheffield Wednesday
44112312684-58-3
LDDDL

Key Statistics

2025 Season
SouthamptonIpswich
2.21Goals p.g.1.65
0.79Goals conceded p.g.1.29
37%Clean sheets29%
79%Win rate47%
3Avg goals in match2.94

Recent Results

SouthamptonLAST MATCHES
21 AprSouthampton2–2Bristol CityChampionship
18 AprSwansea1–2SouthamptonChampionship
14 AprSouthampton3–0BlackburnChampionship
11 AprSouthampton2–1DerbyChampionship
07 AprWrexham1–5SouthamptonChampionship
04 AprSouthampton2–1ArsenalFA Cup
15Win79%
4Draw21%
0Lost0%
LAST MATCHESIpswich
22 AprCharlton1–2IpswichChampionship
19 AprIpswich2–2MiddlesbroughChampionship
14 AprPortsmouth2–0IpswichChampionship
11 AprNorwich0–2IpswichChampionship
06 AprIpswich2–1BirminghamChampionship
21 MarIpswich1–1MillwallChampionship
8Win47%
5Draw29%
4Lost24%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Southampton

No reported absences

Ipswich

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.73 (55.6%)
Both Teams Score1.58 (58.6%)
●Value Bets
Southampton Win2.19 (47.6%)
Ipswich Win3.14 (29.4%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.08 (44.4%)
BTTS No2.25 (41.4%)
●Speculative
Draw3.42 (23%)
Southampton vs Ipswich Predictions, Stats, H2H - 28 Apr 2026 | SureTipsPro