Viking vs Brann
Viking
#3 · Eliteserien
WWWWL
3 - 2
Lyse Arena, Stavanger
Referee: O. Nilsen
Brann
#14 · Eliteserien
LWL?W
★ OUR PICK
Viking to Win
Solid home form and superior underlying numbers over Brann make Viking the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.85
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.80 (implied 55.6%) for Viking to Win. Our model calculates a 58.1% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.72. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Viking will face Brann in the Eliteserien at Lyse Arena.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Viking has a 58.1% probability of winning this match. Brann has a 22% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 19.9%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Viking are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- Viking sit 3rd in the table, 11 places above their opponents
- Viking average 2.5 goals per game
- Viking have kept clean sheets in 44% of their matches
- With a combined average of 4.3 goals per game, expect an entertaining fixture
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Viking58.1%1.80
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.565.6%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes64.6%1.43
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes2-1
8.00
12.6%
1-1
8.03
12.6%
2-2
10.78
9.4%
1-0
10.78
9.4%
2-0
10.83
9.4%
3-1
11.57
8.7%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.80 | Draw 4.08 | Away 3.66 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.44 | Under 2.65 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.12 | Under 5.59 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.13 | Under 1.68 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.43 | No 2.63 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.26 | 12 1.21 | X2 1.96 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals93.8%
Over 1.5 Goals83.2%
Over 2.5 Goals65.6%
Over 3.5 Goals44.2%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tromso | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 16 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Lillestrom | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 13 | WDWWW |
| 3 | Viking | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 12 | WWWWL |
| 4 |  Molde | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | DWLLW |
| 5 |  Bodo/Glimt | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | WDLW |
| 6 |  Valerenga | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 | LDLWW |
| 14 | Brann | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 15 |  Start | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | DLDDL |
| 16 |  Aalesund | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 2 | LDLDL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonVikingBrann
2.5Goals p.g.1.75
0.88Goals conceded p.g.1.75
44%Clean sheets0%
75%Win rate25%
3.38Avg goals in match3.5
Recent Results
VikingLAST MATCHES
18 AprViking3–2BrannEliteserien
06 AprValerenga0–1VikingEliteserien
25 MarViking3–0HaugesundFriendlies Clubs
21 MarViking4–1MoldeEliteserien
18 MarViking1–2AalesundNM Cupen
14 MarHam-Kam2–1VikingEliteserien
12Win75%
2Draw13%
2Lost13%
LAST MATCHESBrann
18 AprViking3–2BrannEliteserien
06 AprHam-Kam1–5BrannEliteserien
22 MarBrann1–2TromsoEliteserien
21 MarSotra–BrannFriendlies Clubs
19 MarBryne1–2BrannNM Cupen
15 MarKristiansund BK3–2BrannEliteserien
4Win25%
3Draw19%
8Lost50%
Lineups
ConfirmedViking4-4-2Confirmed
5Henrik HeggheimDEF
28Kristoffer HaugenDEF
25Henrik Sælebakke FalchenerDEF
6Gianni StensnessDEF
20Peter ChristiansenFWD
26Simen Kvia-EgeskogFWD
30Ľubomír BelkoGK
8Joe BellMID
10Zlatko TripićMID
7Kristoffer AskildsenMID
2Herman Johan HaugenMID
Substitutes
21Anders BaertelsenDEF
18Sondre Flem BjørsholDEF
24Vetle AuklendDEF
11Hilmir Rafn MikaelssonFWD
23Niklas Kemp FuglestadFWD
29Tobias MoiMID
15Ola VistedMID
33Jakob Segadal HansenMID
Brann4-3-3Confirmed
21Denzel De RoeveDEF
17Joachim SoltvedtDEF
23Thore PedersenDEF
3Fredrik Pallesen KnudsenDEF
7Jón Dagur ÞórsteinssonFWD
29Noah Jean HolmFWD
11Bard FinneFWD
1Mathias DyngelandGK
16Kristian EriksenMID
8Felix Horn MyhreMID
18Jacob Lungi SørensenMID
Substitutes
20Vetle DragsnesDEF
6Cheick Mbacke DiopDEF
43Rasmus HoltenDEF
10Kristall Máni IngasonFWD
12Simen Vidtun NilsenGK
14Ulrik MathisenMID
26Rabbi MatondoMID
32Markus HaalandMID
25Niklas Jensen WassbergMID
Unavailable Players
11 playersViking5
A. Ostbo
Missing FixtureLeg Injury
E. Austbo
Missing FixtureGroin Injury
M. Roseth
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
V. Berisha
Missing FixtureLeg Injury
V. Vevatne
Missing FixtureInjury
Brann6
E. Gudmundsson
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
J. Torsvik
Missing FixtureGroin Injury
N. Boakye
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
N. Castro
Missing FixtureAchilles Tendon Injury
S. Magnusson
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
S. Opsahl
Missing FixtureFoot Injury
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Viking Win1.80 (58.1%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.44 (65.6%)
Both Teams Score1.43 (64.6%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.65 (34.4%)
BTTS No2.63 (35.4%)
Speculative
Draw4.08 (19.9%)
Brann Win3.66 (22%)
