Tromso vs Brann
Tromso
#1 · Eliteserien
WWWWW
VS
Romssa Arena
Brann
#14 · Eliteserien
LWL?W
★ OUR PICK
Tromso to Win
Solid home form and superior underlying numbers over Brann make Tromso the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.96
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.93 (implied 51.8%) for Tromso to Win. Our model calculates a 55.2% probability, which translates to fair odds of 1.81. The bookmaker price is higher than our fair value — you are getting paid more than the true probability suggests.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Tromso will face Brann in the Eliteserien at Romssa Arena.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Tromso has a 55.2% probability of winning this match. Brann has a 22.1% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22.7%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Tromso are in outstanding form with 5 wins from their last 5 matches
- Tromso sit 1st in the table, 13 places above their opponents
- Tromso boast a strong defence, conceding just 0.6 goals per game
- Tromso have kept clean sheets in 62% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Tromso55.2%1.93
✓ OUR PICK
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.552.1%1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes54.9%1.68
Based on avg. implied odds from 11 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.44
15.6%
1-0
7.43
13.5%
2-1
7.85
12.8%
2-0
9.29
10.8%
0-0
10.05
10.1%
0-1
10.79
9.3%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.93 | Draw 3.49 | Away 3.69 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.82 | Under 1.96 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.25 | Under 3.62 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.98 | Under 1.35 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.68 | No 2.06 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.25 | 12 1.26 | X2 1.84 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals90.1%
Over 1.5 Goals74.3%
Over 2.5 Goals52.1%
Over 3.5 Goals31.1%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tromso | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 16 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Lillestrom | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 13 | WDWWW |
| 3 |  Viking | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 12 | WWWWL |
| 4 |  Molde | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | DWLLW |
| 5 |  Bodo/Glimt | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | WDLW |
| 6 |  Valerenga | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 | LDLWW |
| 14 | Brann | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 15 |  Start | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | DLDDL |
| 16 |  Aalesund | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 2 | LDLDL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonTromsoBrann
1.5Goals p.g.1.75
0.56Goals conceded p.g.1.75
62%Clean sheets0%
69%Win rate25%
2.06Avg goals in match3.5
Recent Results
TromsoLAST MATCHES
19 AprSarpsborg 08 FF0–1TromsoEliteserien
11 AprTromso2–0Kristiansund BKEliteserien
06 AprTromso2–0RosenborgEliteserien
27 MarTromso1–0StartFriendlies Clubs
22 MarBrann1–2TromsoEliteserien
15 MarTromso4–0FredrikstadEliteserien
11Win69%
2Draw13%
3Lost19%
LAST MATCHESBrann
18 AprViking3–2BrannEliteserien
06 AprHam-Kam1–5BrannEliteserien
22 MarBrann1–2TromsoEliteserien
21 MarSotra–BrannFriendlies Clubs
19 MarBryne1–2BrannNM Cupen
15 MarKristiansund BK3–2BrannEliteserien
4Win25%
3Draw19%
8Lost50%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersTromso
No reported absences
Brann
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Tromso Win1.93 (55.2%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals1.82 (52.1%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.96 (47.9%)
Both Teams Score1.68 (54.9%)
BTTS No2.06 (45.1%)
Speculative
Draw3.49 (22.7%)
Brann Win3.69 (22.1%)
