Vaprus vs Tammeka
Vaprus
#9 · Meistriliiga
WDLLL
0 - 0
Parnu Rannastaadion, Parnu
Referee: M. Pukk
Tammeka
#7 · Meistriliiga
LDLLW
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.55
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.50 for Over 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 64.3% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Vaprus will face Tammeka in the Meistriliiga at Parnu Rannastaadion.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Vaprus has a 43.2% probability of winning this match. Tammeka has a 34.8% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 22%.
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Vaprus43.2%2.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.564.3%1.50
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes66.5%1.42
Based on avg. implied odds from 8 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
6.55
15.3%
1-2
8.30
12.3%
2-1
9.01
11.3%
2-2
9.38
10.8%
0-1
10.79
9.4%
1-0
11.54
9%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.53 | Draw 3.45 | Away 2.35 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.50 | Under 2.35 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.13 | Under 4.98 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 2.26 | Under 1.57 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.42 | No 2.60 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.49 | 12 1.25 | X2 1.42 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals93.8%
Over 1.5 Goals81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals64.3%
Over 3.5 Goals40.9%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Meistriliiga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kalju Nomme | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 14 | 19 | WLDWW |
| 2 |  FC Levadia Tallinn | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 18 | WWDWD |
| 3 |  Paide | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 17 | DWWWW |
| 4 |  Laagri | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 | DWLLW |
| 5 |  Flora Tallinn | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 | WLWWL |
| 6 |  Kuressaare | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 9 | LWWLL |
| 7 | Tammeka | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 7 | LDLLW |
| 8 |  Nõmme United | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 7 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Vaprus | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 7 | WDLLL |
| 10 |  Trans Narva | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 6 | LLLWL |
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonVaprusTammeka
1.75Goals p.g.1.53
2.12Goals conceded p.g.1.76
19%Clean sheets24%
31%Win rate35%
3.88Avg goals in match3.29
Recent Results
VaprusLAST MATCHES
21 AprKuressaare0–1VaprusMeistriliiga
18 AprVaprus0–0TammekaMeistriliiga
08 AprFC Levadia Tallinn2–1VaprusMeistriliiga
04 AprVaprus0–2LaagriMeistriliiga
21 MarTrans Narva2–1VaprusMeistriliiga
14 MarNõmme United7–1VaprusMeistriliiga
5Win31%
2Draw13%
9Lost56%
LAST MATCHESTammeka
22 AprTammeka1–2FC Levadia TallinnMeistriliiga
18 AprVaprus0–0TammekaMeistriliiga
12 AprTammeka1–4PaideMeistriliiga
07 AprTrans Narva3–0TammekaMeistriliiga
03 AprTammeka3–1Flora TallinnMeistriliiga
21 MarNõmme United2–3TammekaMeistriliiga
6Win35%
2Draw12%
9Lost53%
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersVaprus
No reported absences
Tammeka
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.50 (64.3%)
Both Teams Score1.42 (66.5%)
Value Bets
Vaprus Win2.53 (43.2%)
Tammeka Win2.35 (34.8%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.35 (35.7%)
BTTS No2.60 (33.5%)
Speculative
Draw3.45 (22%)