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Trans Narva vs Kalju Nomme

MeistriliigaRegular Season - 10
Trans Narva
#10 · Meistriliiga
LLLWL
VS
Narva Kalev-Fama staadion, Narva
Kalju Nomme
#1 · Meistriliiga
LWWWW
24%
Home Win
20.8%
Draw
55.2%
Away Win
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.61
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.61 for Over 2.5 Goals. Our model calculates a 58.2% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.

Match Overview

On , Trans Narva will face Kalju Nomme in the Meistriliiga at Narva Kalev-Fama staadion.

Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Trans Narva has a 24% probability of winning this match. Kalju Nomme has a 55.2% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 20.8%.

Key factors in this prediction:

  • Kalju Nomme are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
  • Kalju Nomme sit 1st in the table, 9 places above their opponents
  • Kalju Nomme have kept clean sheets in 40% of their matches

Match Preview

AI

Predictions

Moderate confidence
Match Result
2 — Kalju Nomme55.2%1.63
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.558.2%1.61
✓ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Yes57.2%1.63
Based on avg. implied odds from 2 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.

Correct Score

Most likely outcomes
1-1
6.25
16%
1-2
6.50
15.4%
0-2
6.75
14.8%
0-1
6.75
14.8%
1-3
8.50
11.8%
0-3
9.00
11.1%

Match Odds

Avg. bookmaker odds
MarketOption 1Option 2Option 3
1X2Home 4.64Draw 3.78Away 1.63
O/U 2.5Over 1.61Under 2.10
O/U 1.5Over 1.17Under 4.10
O/U 3.5Over 2.55Under 1.43
BTTSYes 1.63No 2.06
Double Chance1X 2.1012 1.21X2 1.14

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
—
Over 1.5 Goals
77.8%
Over 2.5 Goals
58.2%
Over 3.5 Goals
35.9%

Head to Head

Loading head-to-head data...

Meistriliiga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Kalju Nomme
86111841419
WLDWW
2
FC Levadia Tallinn
85301771018
WWDWD
3
Paide
8521169717
DWWWW
4
Laagri
84131312113
DWLLW
5
Flora Tallinn
84041411312
WLWWL
6
Kuressaare
8305915-69
LWWLL
8
Nõmme United
82151821-37
LLWLD
9
Vaprus
8215717-107
WDLLL
10
Trans Narva
8206919-106
LLLWL

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Trans NarvaKalju Nomme
1.47Goals p.g.1.8
2.12Goals conceded p.g.0.87
18%Clean sheets40%
24%Win rate53%
3.59Avg goals in match2.67

Recent Results

Trans NarvaLAST MATCHES
22 AprFlora Tallinn6–0Trans NarvaMeistriliiga
18 AprTrans Narva1–2KuressaareMeistriliiga
11 AprNõmme United5–1Trans NarvaMeistriliiga
07 AprTrans Narva3–0TammekaMeistriliiga
03 AprKalju Nomme2–1Trans NarvaMeistriliiga
21 MarTrans Narva2–1VaprusMeistriliiga
4Win24%
4Draw24%
9Lost53%
LAST MATCHESKalju Nomme
19 AprPaide1–0Kalju NommeMeistriliiga
08 AprLaagri0–2Kalju NommeMeistriliiga
03 AprKalju Nomme2–1Trans NarvaMeistriliiga
21 MarKalju Nomme4–0KuressaareMeistriliiga
15 MarFlora Tallinn0–1Kalju NommeMeistriliiga
08 MarTammeka0–1Kalju NommeMeistriliiga
8Win53%
3Draw20%
3Lost20%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Trans Narva

No reported absences

Kalju Nomme

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

●High Probability
Kalju Nomme Win1.63 (55.2%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.61 (58.2%)
Both Teams Score1.63 (57.2%)
●Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.10 (41.8%)
BTTS No2.06 (42.8%)
●Speculative
Trans Narva Win4.64 (24%)
Draw3.78 (20.8%)
Trans Narva vs Kalju Nomme Predictions, Stats, H2H - 1 May 2026 | SureTipsPro