Union St. Gilloise vs Gent
Union St. Gilloise
#1 · Jupiler Pro League
WWWWW
0 - 0
Stade Joseph Marien, Brussels
Referee: Lothar D'hondt, Belgium
Gent
#4 · Jupiler Pro League
DDWWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams Not to Score
One side looks comfortably the stronger and is likely to keep things clean — BTTS No is the value pick.
BTTS
1.65
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.58 for Both Teams Not to Score. Our model calculates a 55.6% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Union St. Gilloise will face Gent in the Jupiler Pro League at Stade Joseph Marien.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Union St. Gilloise has a 62.6% probability of winning this match. Gent has a 17.5% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 19.9%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Union St. Gilloise are in outstanding form with 5 wins from their last 5 matches
- Gent have won 3 of their last 5 games
- Gent are unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Union St. Gilloise boast a strong defence, conceding just 0.5 goals per game
- Union St. Gilloise have kept clean sheets in 50% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Moderate confidenceMatch Result
1 — Union St. Gilloise62.6%1.37
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.553.7%1.82
Both Teams to Score
No55.6%1.58
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 12 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-0
5.24
19.1%
2-0
5.47
18.4%
2-1
7.80
13%
1-1
7.96
12.7%
3-0
8.12
12.4%
0-0
9.03
11.1%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 1.37 | Draw 4.38 | Away 8.57 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.97 | Under 1.82 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.30 | Under 3.33 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.38 | Under 1.29 | |
| BTTS | Yes 2.24 | No 1.58 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.07 | 12 1.18 | X2 2.90 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals89.9%
Over 1.5 Goals71.9%
Over 2.5 Goals46.3%
Over 3.5 Goals27.6%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Jupiler Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Genk | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 29 | DWDWD |
| 1 | Union St. Gilloise | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 50 | 17 | 33 | 66 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  KVC Westerlo | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 29 | WLWWD |
| 2 |  Club Brugge KV | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 63 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  St. Truiden | 30 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 57 | WDLLL |
| 3 |  Standard Liege | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 26 | LWLWD |
| 4 | Gent | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 45 | DDLDW |
| 14 |  Cercle Brugge | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 31 | WWDWL |
| 15 |  RAAL La Louvière | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 31 | LLLDW |
| 16 |  Dender | 30 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 19 | LLWLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonUnion St. GilloiseGent
1.5Goals p.g.1.71
0.5Goals conceded p.g.1.14
50%Clean sheets29%
71%Win rate50%
2Avg goals in match2.86
Recent Results
Union St. GilloiseLAST MATCHES
19 AprUnion St. Gilloise2–1Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
04 AprUnion St. Gilloise1–0St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
22 MarSt. Truiden1–3Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
14 MarUnion St. Gilloise2–0DenderJupiler Pro League
07 MarUnion St. Gilloise2–1GenkJupiler Pro League
01 MarKVC Westerlo0–0Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
10Win71%
4Draw29%
0Lost0%
LAST MATCHESGent
19 AprGent0–0St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
06 AprGent1–1KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
22 MarDender1–3GentJupiler Pro League
13 MarGent2–0Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
08 MarGent3–1KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
01 MarGenk3–0GentJupiler Pro League
7Win50%
3Draw21%
4Lost29%
Lineups
ConfirmedUnion St. Gilloise3-4-2-1Confirmed
16Christian BurgessDEF
5Kevin Mac AllisterDEF
26Ross SykesDEF
13Kevin RodriguezFWD
10Anouar Ait El HadjFWD
9Mateo BiondicFWD
37Kjell ScherpenGK
6Kamiel Van de PerreMID
11Guilherme SmithMID
8Adem ZorganeMID
25Anan KhalailiMID
Substitutes
29Massire SyllaDEF
3Mamadou BarryDEF
19Guillaume FrançoisDEF
27Louis PatrisDEF
7Mohammed FuseiniFWD
30Raul FloruczFWD
18Giorgi KavlashviliGK
1Vic ChambaereGK
17Rob SchoofsMID
14Ivan PavlićMID
22Ousseynou NiangMID
Gent3-4-1-2Confirmed
44Siebe Van Der HeydenDEF
57Matties VolckaertDEF
4Daiki HashiokaDEF
10Aimé OmgbaFWD
7Wilfried KangaFWD
45Hyllarion GooreFWD
33Davy RoefGK
27Tibe De VliegerMID
8Michał SkóraśMID
29Jean-Kévin DuverneMID
20Tiago AraújoMID
Substitutes
54Hannes VernemmenDEF
25Hatim EssaouabiDEF
21Max DeanFWD
11Momodou SonkoFWD
75Ibrahima CisseFWD
31Bas EversGK
30Kjell PeersmanGK
37Abdelkahar KadriMID
15Atsuki ItoMID
17Mathias DelorgeMID
24Hyun-Seok HongMID
Unavailable Players
0 playersUnion St. Gilloise
No reported absences
Gent
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Union St. Gilloise Win1.37 (62.6%)
BTTS No1.58 (55.6%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals1.97 (46.3%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.82 (53.7%)
Both Teams Score2.24 (44.4%)
Speculative
Draw4.38 (19.9%)
Gent Win8.57 (17.5%)
