Union St. Gilloise vs Club Brugge KV
Union St. Gilloise
#1 · Jupiler Pro League
WWWWW
2 - 1
Stade Joseph Marien, Brussels
Referee: L. Visser
Club Brugge KV
#2 · Jupiler Pro League
LWWWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.75
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.72 for Both Teams to Score. Our model calculates a 56.1% probability. The bookmaker price aligns with our model — this is our most confident selection for this match.
Why this pick: we only recommend selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5. Shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, while longer prices lack the confidence needed to recommend.
Match Overview
On , Union St. Gilloise will face Club Brugge KV in the Jupiler Pro League at Stade Joseph Marien.
Based on key match statistics such as expected goals (xG), recent results, and player performance data, our analysis suggests that Union St. Gilloise has a 47.8% probability of winning this match. Club Brugge KV has a 28.7% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 23.5%.
Key factors in this prediction:
- Union St. Gilloise are in outstanding form with 5 wins from their last 5 matches
- Club Brugge KV are in outstanding form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
- Club Brugge KV average 2.3 goals per game
- Union St. Gilloise boast a strong defence, conceding just 0.5 goals per game
- Union St. Gilloise have kept clean sheets in 50% of their matches
Match Preview
AIPredictions
Closely matchedMatch Result
1 — Union St. Gilloise47.8%2.11
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.551.9%1.93
Both Teams to Score
Yes56.1%1.72
✓ OUR PICK
Based on avg. implied odds from 13 bookmakers. We only tag OUR PICK on selections priced between 1.5 and 3.5 — shorter favourites pay too little to justify the risk, longer prices lack reliability.
Correct Score
Most likely outcomes1-1
5.98
16.8%
1-0
7.09
14.2%
2-1
8.02
12.6%
0-0
8.98
11.2%
0-1
9.37
10.8%
2-0
9.51
10.6%
Match Odds
Avg. bookmaker odds| Market | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home 2.11 | Draw 3.32 | Away 3.35 |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 1.93 | Under 1.86 | |
| O/U 1.5 | Over 1.29 | Under 3.42 | |
| O/U 3.5 | Over 3.29 | Under 1.31 | |
| BTTS | Yes 1.72 | No 2.03 | |
| Double Chance | 1X 1.30 | 12 1.30 | X2 1.69 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsOver 0.5 Goals89.9%
Over 1.5 Goals72.6%
Over 2.5 Goals51.9%
Over 3.5 Goals28.5%
Head to Head
Loading head-to-head data...
Jupiler Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Genk | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 29 | DWDWD |
| 1 | Union St. Gilloise | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 50 | 17 | 33 | 66 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  KVC Westerlo | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 29 | WLWWD |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 63 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  St. Truiden | 30 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 57 | WDLLL |
| 3 |  Standard Liege | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 26 | LWLWD |
| 14 |  Cercle Brugge | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 31 | WWDWL |
| 15 |  RAAL La Louvière | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 31 | LLLDW |
| 16 |  Dender | 30 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 19 | LLWLL |
Key Statistics
2025 SeasonUnion St. GilloiseClub Brugge KV
1.5Goals p.g.2.33
0.5Goals conceded p.g.1.53
50%Clean sheets13%
71%Win rate67%
2Avg goals in match3.87
Recent Results
Union St. GilloiseLAST MATCHES
19 AprUnion St. Gilloise2–1Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
04 AprUnion St. Gilloise1–0St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
22 MarSt. Truiden1–3Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
14 MarUnion St. Gilloise2–0DenderJupiler Pro League
07 MarUnion St. Gilloise2–1GenkJupiler Pro League
01 MarKVC Westerlo0–0Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
10Win71%
4Draw29%
0Lost0%
LAST MATCHESClub Brugge KV
19 AprUnion St. Gilloise2–1Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
11 AprSt. Truiden1–2Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
06 AprClub Brugge KV4–2AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
22 MarClub Brugge KV4–1KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
14 MarKVC Westerlo1–2Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
08 MarClub Brugge KV2–2AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
10Win67%
2Draw13%
3Lost20%
Lineups
ConfirmedUnion St. Gilloise3-4-3Confirmed
26Ross SykesDEF
16Christian BurgessDEF
5Kevin Mac AllisterDEF
9Mateo BiondicFWD
13Kevin RodriguezFWD
10Anouar Ait El HadjFWD
37Kjell ScherpenGK
8Adem ZorganeMID
25Anan KhalailiMID
11Guilherme SmithMID
6Kamiel Van de PerreMID
Substitutes
27Louis PatrisDEF
19Guillaume FrançoisDEF
29Massire SyllaDEF
7Mohammed FuseiniFWD
30Raul FloruczFWD
21Jens TeunckensGK
1Vic ChambaereGK
14Ivan PavlićMID
23Besfort ZeneliMID
22Ousseynou NiangMID
Club Brugge KV4-2-3-1Confirmed
14Bjorn MeijerDEF
44Brandon MecheleDEF
4Joel OrdóñezDEF
65Joaquin SeysDEF
17Romeo VermantFWD
29Nordin JackersGK
25Aleksandar StankovićMID
15Raphael OnyedikaMID
9Carlos ForbsMID
10Hugo VetlesenMID
8Christos TzolisMID
Substitutes
41Hugo SiquetDEF
58Jorne SpileersDEF
19Gustaf NilssonFWD
7Nicolò TresoldiFWD
84Shandre CampbellFWD
67Mamadou DiakhonFWD
16Dani van den HeuvelGK
11Cisse SandraMID
20Hans VanakenMID
Unavailable Players
0 playersUnion St. Gilloise
No reported absences
Club Brugge KV
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High Probability
Both Teams Score1.72 (56.1%)
Value Bets
Union St. Gilloise Win2.11 (47.8%)
Club Brugge KV Win3.35 (28.7%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.93 (51.9%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.86 (48.1%)
BTTS No2.03 (43.9%)
Speculative
Draw3.32 (23.5%)
